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Support for Ukraine is starting to erode due of electoral politics

Russia and Ukraine are at war on several fronts. Gains in diplomacy these days are just as challenging to achieve as advancements on the battlefield.


Since Russia's invasion last year, Kyiv has continued to enjoy significant Support from the West. However, the coalition in favor of Ukraine is starting to fracture.


By a wide margin, the United States is Ukraine's biggest financial and military supporter, contributing more than $110 billion (£90 billion). However, in a fierce internal debate over how to fund the federal government, Congress abandoned plans to grant Ukraine an additional $6 billion over the weekend.


Republicans have differing opinions on whether to increase or decrease their support for Ukraine. Some believe it should only be given if President Biden increases US border security spending.


Mr. Biden has pledged to provide Ukraine another $24 billion soon, but that pledge may now be at risk from US domestic politics.


Ukraine may be poised to lose yet another ally on the other side of the Atlantic.


Robert Fico's Smer party won the majority of seats in Slovakia's elections, but he still needs to put together a coalition. The populist former prime minister ran for office on a platform promising to stop providing military support for Ukraine; as such, he is usually regarded as pro-Moscow and anti-Kyiv.


"People in Slovakia have bigger problems than people in Ukraine," he declared. That indicates that Hungary and Viktor Orban's Hungary are now the only two EU nations prepared to block further coordinated EU support for Ukraine.


Poland, which borders Ukraine, will shortly hold elections, and there, too, questions about assisting Ukraine have been raised. Polish farmers are opposed to the import of cheap Ukrainian grain, which the ruling Law and Justice Party has pledged to stop.


Andrzej Duda, the president, compared Ukraine to a drowning man who is dragging down his rescuers. Mateusz Morawiecki, Poland's prime minister, initially claimed that Poland was "no longer transferring any weapons to Ukraine," but this was later denied.


Therefore, support for Ukraine is starting to wane due to election politics. The worldwide problem in living costs and the climate disaster are two more issues that are equally pressing.


Recently, it was apparent that Ukraine was no longer always at the top of the agenda at the UN General Assembly.


The Security Council and UN Assembly Addresses Delivered by President Volodymyr Zelensky for the first time in person did not get as much attention as they had in the past. Diplomats observed that the Ukrainian delegation had lost some of its shine as leaders from the Global South pushed their own agendas.


The Security Council and UN assembly addresses delivered by President Volodymyr Zelensky for the first time in person did not get as much attention as they had in the past. Diplomats observed that the Ukrainian delegation had lost some of its shine as leaders from the Global South pushed their own agendas.


This is what Kremlin strategists have been waiting for for a long time. According to diplomats, Vladimir Putin wants to wait out the West by prolonging the conflict until Ukraine starts to lose international backing and turns to politics.


Leaders in the West assert that they have the fortitude to persevere and exercise more strategic patience than Russia anticipates.


James Cleverly, the UK Foreign Secretary, said that the conflict was "putting pressure on countries all over the world" and called it a "big thing" that needed to be dealt with in this weekend's House Magazine interview.


His response was that these pressures, whether political or economic, would only worsen if Western support for Ukraine decreased: "This is painful and difficult. But if we stumble, it will only get harder and more painful.


In an effort to dispel that notion, EU foreign ministers paid a visit to Kyiv on Monday and held their first-ever joint meeting there as a show of solidarity.


The head of EU foreign policy, Josep Borrell, told the BBC that the EU would keep funding its military support, which has cost more than €5 billion (£4.3 billion) to date.


One thing is very apparent, he declared: "For us Europeans, the Russian war against Ukraine is an existential threat, and we have to react accordingly." However, he acknowledged that the Congress's determination to obstruct additional aid had him "worried".


Diplomats' response is that there is more at stake on the battlefield than just Ukraine's future. They claim that nations in Latin America, Asia, and Africa are starting to warm around to this idea.


In the past, some of those nations dismissed the fighting as a local conflict in Europe that had no bearing on them. It has been simpler for Ukraine and the West to argue that the Global South has a stake in the conflict, however, as a result of Russia's withdrawal from the Black Sea grain program and its attacks on Ukrainian grain silos.


According to Dmytro Kuleba, the foreign minister of Ukraine: "What is at stake in Ukraine is far more than just Ukraine. It has to do with the world's consistency and predictability.


Therefore, Ukraine is taking a long view. Government leaders have long anticipated that Western support may wane with time. They were prepared for the unpredictable nature of transatlantic election cycles.


And they are aware that two crucial moments later may be the actual Western unity's test. The first is that Ukraine will have to make a critical choice over how long it can continue fighting if Donald Trump is elected President again the following year and reduces US support.


Second, if the combat does end in some way, it might be difficult for allies to agree on the concessions that might be required to secure a political settlement.



This post first appeared on IGONG, please read the originial post: here

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Support for Ukraine is starting to erode due of electoral politics

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