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Today’s Best BetToday’s Best Long Shot

(TBA) races will be run and won at Gawler on Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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The Everest : View the Field and Odds for The Everest

King Charles III Stakes : View the Field and Odds for the King Charles III Stakes

Sydney Stakes : View the Field and Odds for the Sydney Stakes

The Kosciuszko : View the Field and Odds for The Kosciuszko

The Silver Eagle : View the Field and Odds for The Silver Eagle

Back Me

I think 10 Land Legend (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) could be a moral here. The local stayers, as a whole, look very plain. Different form might be key and this UK stayer brings different form, and strong form. Last start was in a Listed race at Deauville and ran a very credible fifth on a testing track, something he hates. He is a dry track horse so he gets conditions to suit and the runner up from that Deauville race has since won a Group ll. Form reads super, down to 52kg…keen.

Danger

2 Kalapour (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) commands respect. Kris Lees trained gelding that comes through The Metropolitan where the race shape wasn’t to his liking but I liked the way he kept chipping away to the line and was far from disgraced in defeat when third to Just Fine. No horse of that quality here and should just about be cherry ripe re fitness.

Long Shot

7 Outlandos (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is on the seven day back up for John Sargent after racing last Saturday over 2000m where he got back off the speed but despite that, he loomed but just lacked the sharpness late behind Pierossa. Love him up to 2600m and he is a horse who is racing in solid enough form whereas some of these are tired and looking for the paddock.

Back Me

5 Garza Blanca (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is bursting to win again and I think he finds a very winnable race here. Looked like he would win when racing at Randwick a few weeks ago but just missed out in a narrow finish, beaten a lip by a quality horse in Kibou. He’s flying this time in but needs to win to be any chance of progressing towards the Golden Eagle. Confident he goes close.

Danger

19 Seuqestered (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is heading in the right direction for James Cummings. Four year old mare that resumed at the midweeks at Rosehill and she made a mess of them after spotting them a decent start in the run, launching late to win and win well. Think she’s destined for better races than this so with that in mind, she has to be rated as hard to beat.

Long Shot

16 Nails Murphy (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is a very interesting runner. Import for Maher/Eustace that makes his Australian debut. He had four runs in the UK and showed good promise, winning two races, including one at Goodwood in dominant fashion. The market will be fascinating to see what it does with him but I can easily see him being smashed and winning.

Back Me

4 Arctic Glamour (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) should take a power of beating for the Ryan/Alexiou camp, who won the race last year with A Lot More Love. This filly was a drifter in betting when resuming in a midweek maiden at Rosehill but it mattered not to her because she made an absolute mess of them, winning by a space and running good time. She’ll eat up 1400m, bigger track, upside to come…the winner for mine.

Danger

2 Aditi (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) will jump on the bunny and give a sight. She resumed with a dominant win at Warwick Farm before going to the Kenso last Wednesday where she attempted to lead throughout and gave a strong kick but couldn’t quite finish the job when second to Ghaanati. 1400m is a query but if she gets a soft run on speed, she’ll give cheek.

Long Shot

8 Zelta (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) has the 1400m run under the belt, which should hold her in good stead. That run was a Kembla maiden when first up, leading throughout, and gee she showed ticker because she was there to be beaten but she found to fend them off and win. Not sure she has the quality to win but can certainly pinch a first four spot.

Back Me

7 Ravello (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is a three year old for John O’Shea I do have time for. Like most here, he comes through the Dulcify where he got a fair way out of his ground and in an on speed dominated race, he was never a factor but was clearly the best of the closers. If he is able to settle closer in the run, IMO he has the quality to take this out.

Danger

3 Tom Kitten (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is racing like he will eat up 1800m. James Cummings trained three year old that ran a fortnight back in the Dulcify where he was very one paced when asked for the big effort by Nash but kept on and found the line well enough when third to Ganbare. The rise to 1800m should be ideal and with a more positive ride, he can win.

Long Shot

10 Glad You Think So (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) doesn’t have the quality of some of these but the trip will be no issue. He hasn’t raced since Cup Day at Newcastle where he was on speed throughout and credit to him, he was there to be beaten but he found under pressure to fend them off and get the win. Tick over trial last week was solid, he’s got a good racing style and will keep chipping away. First four contender.

Back Me

3 Far Too Easy (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is a horse I have been keen on for this race for a while and won’t be dropping off. He hasn’t raced since The Ramornie at Grafton where his effort in defeat was absolutely enormous given the race shape, getting back and making up solid headway. His Doomben trial was excellent, seemingly back on track for his return. Ran so well in this race last year and confident he goes one better.

Danger

7 Opal Ridge (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is a quality mare for Luke Pepper that resumes. This mare last raced in the Tatts Tiara at Eagle Farm when close up in defeat behind Palaisipan, beaten 1.5L in a blanket finish. I thought she was potentially an Everest horse but she didn’t quite seal the deal in Brisbane so they resume here and off a nice trial in town, she is a proven performer at a higher level than this and will be strong late.

Long Shot

History says you need to be a Group horse to win this race. 12 Derry Grove (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) comes through Highway races but he has been winning like a potential Group horse and that is why he is running here. The last two starts, both in Highways here, have been so explosive that he had to get picked up for this race, and he comes into it as a leading contender. If he can stretch the brilliance to 1200m, they are cooking with gas.

Back Me

Keen on 13 Bella Nipotina (Bet Now: 
$SP.00). She has been excellent in two key Everest lead ups, close up behind Private Eye and Think About It respectively. I am gravitating towards her electric third up record. Last three third up runs have resulted in a win in the Sapphire, a spank job Manikato triumph and an enormous second to Imperatriz in the William Reid. I have her around $2.50…really keen.

Danger

2 Vilana (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) won on this day last year when bolting up in the Silver Eagle and looks to be ticking along nicely towards it. Five year old that resumes, having not raced since The Stradbroke when back in the run and failing to make up any real headway behind Think About It. Looked sharp in a recent Rosehill trial and is a bomb on the fresh side so keen to see how he goes.

Long Shot

4 Rocketing By (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) won this race last year and I think he is sneaky flying towards it again. He was running well in The Everest lead ups, the latest in The Shorts when never a threat but making up solid headway behind Private Eye. Tick over trial was sharp, beating Vilana, and on a firm deck, good speed in front, look for him to launch late.

Back Me

3 Think About It… (Bet Now: $4.80) gee it’s hard to get away from him. Just a win in the Premiere but the barrier meant Clipperton had to ride him close, which meant he was left exposed early in the straight but the comments from Clipperton post race were telling when he said the horse had plenty to give when challenged late and he has got big improvement to come. He’ll explode IMO and is the one to beat.

Danger

1 I Wish I Win (Bet Now: $5.00) showed in the TJ Smith that he can give them a start and a beating. Did more than enough in the Memsie and we know how hot that race has been as a form reference. This has been a plan since he got picked up for a slot and looks spot on. The draw looks a bit on the tricky side, but he is one of only 2/3 horses that can sit back, give them a start and a beating IMO.

Long Shot

Jury was out on 2 Private Eye (Bet Now: $6.00) last prep but this time, he’s back. First up win was huge, sitting wide no cover and finding plenty to win. But what has sealed me is the trial a few days ago. It was such a lovely piece of work, sitting off the speed but was given a squeeze late and yep, the response was instant. He’s ticking along beautifully and he did go so close in this race last year. He can certainly go one better.

Back Me

Keen on 3 Ruthless Dame (Bet Now: $7.50). I thought she did more than enough in The Shorts behind Private Eye. Race was a crawl and given she was back near last in the run, she was never a factor, but did make up ground. Much better set up for her here, and second up last prep she should have won the Surround when beaten a lip by Sunshine In Paris. That is A1 form for this.

Danger

5 Yellow Brick (Bet Now: $3.70) is too good of a horse to pen…yet. Despite a run of outs, I am convinced he is good enough to measure up here. He resumed on the home deck at Toowoomba in the Weetwood where he was ridden like the best horse in the race, landing in front and giving a strong kick, but was nabbed late. He’ll take good improvement off that and with a bunny to chase, more conservative steer, he can take this out.

Long Shot

17 Garza Blanca (Bet Now: $9.00) is bursting to win again for Maher/Eustace so don’t dismiss him. Looked like he would win when racing at Randwick a few weeks ago but just missed out in a narrow finish, beaten a lip by a quality horse in Kibou. He’s flying this time in but if he is to be a Golden Eagle contender, he needs to run top three here. If he gets a run, he’s certainly in with a shout.

Back Me

2 Mr Brightside… (Bet Now: $2.15) he’s a star and confident he can confirm himself as the best miler in Australia, one of the best in the world, with a win here. 3/3 this time in, the latest coming in the Makybe Diva in what was a barrier trial but he showed prior he can win off a fast speed, and with the slow tempo this time, he was still too good. Proven big time performer at the Randwick mile…all points to him.

Danger

14 Fangirl (Bet Now: $9.00) is a top class mare that has been kept on ice for this race. Her last run was several weeks ago in the 7 Stakes where she got a mile out of her ground and was never a threat given the race shape but really liked the way she found the line late in the piece behind Think It Over. Tick over trial was good, she’ll be getting back but be launching at the them late.

Long Shot

12 Kovalica (Bet Now: $11.00) is dangerous with his best. Chris Waller trained four year old that ran two weeks back in The Epsom and given the race shape, the track pattern, his run was absolutely enormous in defeat, driving hard late to just miss out on picking up Rediener. He’s got a stack of upside/improvement to come and with a more positive ride, he is a knockout hope.

Back Me

I think there is runner at superb value here in the shape of 3 Frumos (Bet Now: 
$SP.00). Resumed over 1200m two weeks ago and watching the replay, you could almost say it was a barrier trial. Moreira was very kind on her and only hit her the last 75m. Great second up record, will love the rise to 1600m and given she is a Stakes winner, she seems very well in at the weights. Keen on her running a positive race.

Danger

4 Renaissance Woman (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) looks to be in for a good prep for Bjorn Baker. She was unwanted in betting when resuming a fortnight back at this track/distance where she got back to near last in the run, spotting those in front a tidy start, but I really liked the way she found the line late in the piece when a close up fifth to Unspoken, beaten 1.6L. If she can settle closer in the run, she’ll be dangerous.

Long Shot

13 Ausbred Flirt (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) looks to be in for a pretty good prep for Brad Widdup. She was specked at odds when resuming four weeks back over 1400m at Randwick and under a peach from Schiller, she was able to slice her way through the field and finish best for a super win. Has more upside than most and can only see her improving with the run under the belt.

BEST BET: Race Nine Number 2 Mr Brightside

NEXT BEST: Race One Number 10 Land Legend

LONG SHOT: Race Ten Number 3 Frumps

Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 1, 2, 3, 6

Leg Two: 3, 5

Leg Three: 2

Leg Four: 2, 3, 4, 7, 13

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