The New York Giants (1-3) visit the Miami Dolphins (3-1) in Week 5 on Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Dolphins odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Giants are coming off a 24-3 defeat to the Seattle Seahawks in Week 4, failing to cover as 2.5-point home underdogs while the Under (45.5) hit. If you remove New York’s 2nd half against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 2, it has been outscored 122-15.
The Dolphins failed to cover as 3-point road underdogs in their 48-20 blowout loss to the Buffalo Bills in Week 4. The Over (52) cashed and Miami’s streak of covering the spread ended at 6 games.
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Giants at Dolphins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 6:39 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Giants +475 (bet $100 to win $475) | Dolphins -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Giants +12.5 (-115) | Dolphins -12.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Giants at Dolphins key injuries
Giants
- RB Saquon Barkley (ankle) questionable
- TE Daniel Bellinger (knee) questionable
- C/OL Shane Lemieux (hip) questionable
- LB Micah McFadden (ankle) questionable
- OL Marcus McKethan (knee) questionable
- OL Evan Neal (hand/ankle) questionable
- DE Azeez Ojulari (hamstring) questionable
- WR Wan’Dale Robinson (knee) questionable
- C John Michael Schmitz (shoulder) questionable
- OL Andrew Thomas (hamstring) questionable
Dolphins
- OL Terron Armstead (back/ankle/knee) questionable
- LB Jaelan Phillips (oblique) questionable
- C Connor Williams (groin) questionable
Giants at Dolphins picks and predictions
Prediction
Dolphins 38, Giants 13
Moneyline
Even though the Dolphins (-650) are expected to win with ease on Sunday against the Giants, I’ll AVOID taking their moneyline in this contest. It is never wise to wager on any bet at -650 odds straight up.
Against the spread
It is a large spread for Miami at home, but I’ll still back the DOLPHINS -12.5 (-105) to cover. The Dolphins are coming off a lopsided loss to a division rival and the Giants are an absolute mess right now.
QB Daniel Jones was sacked 10 times in Week 4 and New York is expected to be without a couple of starters along the offensive line again in Week 5. Also, the Giants are 0-4 ATS and the Dolphins are 3-1 ATS this season.
Over/Under
OVER 47.5 (-110) is the play in this game as the Dolphins are plenty capable of covering the total themselves. Miami’s lone home game thus far came in Week 3 against the Denver Broncos when the team produced a historic 70 points.
While I don’t expect 70 points again from the Dolphins, they are scoring a league-best 37.5 points per game and the Giants are giving up 30.5 points per game (4th-most in the NFL). After getting blown out by the Bills, QB Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins will be celebrating plenty of touchdowns against the Giants on Sunday.
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