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Alabama at Texas A&M odds, picks and predictions

The No. 10 Alabama Crimson Tide (4-1, 2-0 SEC) and Texas A&M Aggies (4-1, 2-0) tussle in a Saturday SEC West affair in College Station, Texas. Kickoff from Kyle Field is slated for 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Alabama vs. Texas A&M odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Crimson Tide defeated Mississippi State 40-17 last week, covering as 16.5-point favorites. Alabama was a plus-1 in turnover margin heading into the game at MSU; the Tide were plus-3 against the Bulldogs.

The Aggies won at Arkansas last Saturday, outscoring the Razorbacks 34-22 and covering as 6.5-point favorites. A&M held Arkansas to just 42 rushing yards on 39 carries. The Aggies rank 5th in the nation in total defense (253.8 yards per game) and 21st in rushing defense (96.2 YPG).

The Crimson Tide are ranked No. 10 by the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Alabama at Texas A&M odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Alabama -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Texas A&M -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Alabama -1 (-110) | Texas A&M +1 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 46 (O: -110 | U: -110 )

Alabama at Texas A&M picks and predictions

Prediction

Texas A&M 27, Alabama 20

Moneyline

This contest features a 2nd-division Alabama offense (88th in total offense at 363.2 YPG) taking on a Texas A&M defense ranked 5th in the nation, allowing just 253.8 YPG. The Tide like to run the ball, and the Aggies have held opposing ball carriers to just 2.9 YPC.

Look for the home side to be able to force UA into plenty of passing-down situations, and that’s where the green check marks pop up for the Aggies. Alabama has allowed more havoc plays than A&M and the Aggies have been much the better team in creating run stuffs, sacks, pass break-ups and turnovers on the defensive side.

Figure Texas A&M forcing more than a couple of punts and the Aggies winning outright due to a big effort in the trenches.

FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best price here: BACK THE AGGIES (+104).

Against the spread

The Aggies are 4-2 ATS over the last half-dozen series meetings (2017-22), but we’re not buying the point here.

PASS.

Over/Under

The projected game flow and pace put this game in the mid-to-high 40s, so there is no room to operate here.

PASS.

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