The Variety Awards Circuit area is the hub for all award-related news and information throughout the year. It includes, among other things, senior awards editor Clayton Davis’s official predictions for the upcoming Tony, Grammy, Emmy, and Tony Awards ceremonies. The standings in the race are depicted on the prediction pages; personal preferences for any particular competitor are not included. As numerous official (and unofficial) surveys have shown, competitions are dynamic and liable to shift in response to news and events. On Thursdays, predictions are updated.

Weekly Commentary (12th October 2023 Update): The AMPTP’s suspension of the SAG-AFTRA discussions makes the campaigning for the upcoming awards season more gloomier.
The entertainment sector has a history of labor issues, and since July, one of the most important unions that represents its workers has been striking in an effort to improve the terms and conditions for its individual members. The strikes have slowed down the development of significant studio productions and may completely derail the awards season. The fact that independent feature films can support and champion their artists through temporary agreements is a silver lining (if you are a “glass half-full” kind of person).

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Without the performers, the authors and directors are left to drive their productions forward with no clear finish in sight. What effect will that have on the chances of these books? The winners might be production companies with contracts for the majority of their films, like A24 and Neon.

This week saw the release of the first trailer for “The Iron Claw,” an upcoming sports biopic from A24 starring Zac Efron and Jeremy Allen White. The movie’s omission from the festival circuit generated the misleading impression that it didn’t have “the goods,” even though the writer and director had just finished editing the movie. The tragic drama about the Von Erich wrestling dynasty, on the other hand, could be a significant spoiler on the circuit, according to two individuals who watched early cuts of the movie.

Despite the fact that Lionsgate isn’t a member of the AMPTP, there is no confirmation or evidence that any of the filmmakers have requested agreements for their films, including the critically acclaimed “Are You There God? With aspiring supporting actress Rachel McAdams, Kelly Fremon Craig’s “It’s Me, Margaret” was released. Its entry for the comedy categories of the Golden Globes was exclusively made public by Variety.

The general categories have a submission deadline of November 18, 2023. Voting for the preliminary shortlist will start on December 18 with results being made public on December 21. Jan. 11–16, 2024, will be the voting period, and Jan. 23, 2024, will see the formal announcement of the nominees.

The 96th Academy Awards will take place on March 10th.

Read Also: Which Movies and Studios Could Win the Most Nominations at the Oscars?

The producer credits shown are not final and could change. The official nominees are chosen by the Academy in the end.

• AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:
• “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)
• Emma Thomas, Charles Roven, Christopher Nolan
• “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)
• Dan Friedkin, Martin Scorsese, Bradley Thomas, Daniel Lupi
• “Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures)
• Ed Guiney, Andrew Lowe, Yorgos Lanthimos, Emma Stone
• “Barbie” (Warner Bros.)
• David Heyman, Margot Robbie, Tom Ackerley, Robbie Brenner
• “Maestro” (Netflix)
• Fred Berner, Bradley Cooper, Amy Durning, Kristie Macosko Krieger, Martin Scorsese, Steven Spielberg
• “The Holdovers” (Focus Features)
• Mark Johnson, Bill Block, David Hemingson
• “The Zone of Interest” (A24)
• Ewa Puszczynska, James Wilson
• “American Fiction” (MGM)
• Cord Jefferson, Jermaine Johnson, Nikos Karamigios, Ben LeClair
• “The Iron Claw” (A24)
• Sean Durkin, Juliette Howell, Angus Lamont, Tessa Ross
• “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” (Sony Pictures)
• Avi Arad, Phil Lord, Christopher Miller, Amy Pascal, Christina Steinberg
• NEXT IN LINE
• “Past Lives” (A24)
• David Hinojosa, Pamela Koffler, Christine Vachon
• “May December” (Netflix)
• Jessica Elbaum, Will Ferrell, Grant S. Johnson, Pamela Koffler, Tyler W. Konney, Sophie Mas, Natalie Portman, Christine Vachon
• “Origin” (Neon)
• Ava DuVernay, Paul Garnes
• “The Bikeriders” (20th Century Studios)
• Sarah Green, Brian Kavanaugh-Jones, Arnon Milchan
• “Air” (Amazon MGM Studios)
• Ben Affleck, Madison Ainley, Jason Michael Berman, Matt Damon, David Ellison, Peter Guber, Jeff Robinov, Jesse Sisgold, Jon Weinbach
• “The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.)
• Quincy Jones, Scott Sanders, Steven Spielberg, Oprah Winfrey
• “Ferrari” (Neon)
• Monika Bacardi, Thomas Hayslip, Andrea Iervolino, John Lesher, Michael Mann, Laura Rister, Thorsten Schumacher, Lars Sylvest, P.J. van Sandwijk, Gareth West
• “Anatomy of a Fall” (Neon)
• Marie-Ange Luciani, David Thion
• “Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret.” (Lionsgate)
• Julie Ansell, James L. Brooks, Kelly Fremon Craig
• “Napoleon” (Apple Original Films/Sony Pictures)
• Mark Huffam, Ridley Scott, Kevin J. Walsh
• OTHER TOP-TIER POSSIBILITIES
• “Freud’s Last Session” (Sony Pictures Classics)
• Alan Greisman, Hannah Leader, Rick Nicita, Robert Stillman, Meg Thomson
• “Priscilla” (A24)
• Sofia Coppola, Youree Henley, Lorenzo Mieli
• “The Taste of Things” (IFC Films/Sapan Studio)
• Olivier Delbosc
• “Dumb Money” (Sony Pictures)
• Craig Gillespie, Aaron Ryder, Teddy Schwarzman
• “Saltburn” (Amazon MGM Studios)
• Emerald Fennell, Josey McNamara, Tom Ackerley, Margot Robbie
• “All of Us Strangers” (Searchlight Pictures)
• Graham Broadbent, Peter Czernin, Sarah Harvey
• “Rustin” (Netflix)
• Bruce Cohen, Tonia Davis
• “American Symphony” (Netflix)
• Lauren Domino, Joedan Okun
• “Fair Play” (Netflix)
• Leopold Hughes, Ben LeClair, Allan Mandelbaum, Tim White, Trevor White
• “BlackBerry” (IFC Films)
• Fraser Ash, Niv Fichman, Kevin Krikst, Matthew Miller
• ALSO IN CONTENTION
• “The Burial” (Amazon MGM Studios)
• Jamie Foxx, Jenette Kahn, Celine Rattray, Adam Richman, Robert Shriver, Trudie Styler, Datari Turner
• “Dream Scenario” (A24)
• Ari Aster, Tyler Campellone, Jacob Jaffke, Lars Knudsen
• “Society of the Snow” (Netflix)
• Belén Atienza, Sandra Hermida
• “Wish” (Walt Disney Pictures)
• Peter Del Vecho, Juan Pablo Reyes Lancaster-Jones
• “Nyad” (Netflix)
• Andrew Lazar, Teddy Schwarzman
• “Fingernails” (Apple Original Films)
• Cate Blanchett, Coco Francini, Christos Nikou, Andrew Upton, Lucas Wiesendanger
• “Asteroid City” (Focus Features)
• Wes Anderson, Jeremy Dawson, Steven Rales
• “A Little Prayer” (Sony Pictures Classics)
• Max A. Butler, Angus MacLachlan, Lauren Vilchik
• “The Teachers’ Lounge” (Sony Pictures Classics)
• Ingo Fliess
• “The Royal Hotel” (Neon)
• Iain Canning, Kath Shelper, Emile Sherman, Liz Watts

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