2024-03-06 19:06
The analysis of image complexity has been around for over a decade, and numerous examples are available in the present blog. An image is an N x M matrix of pixels and is easy to analyze with… Read More
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Quantitative Complexity Management By Ontonix Blog
ontonixqcm.blog
Tags:
complexity
artificial intelligence
principle
intelligence
critical complexity
warning
cardiac defibrillators
complexity analysis
complex
robustness
Complexity is a fundamental property of every system. In 2005 Ontonix introduced the first rational and scientific measure of complexity.
The applications of Quantitative Complexity Management are endless and span disciplines such as defense, engineering, economics, finance, management, socio-political and global issues, medicine, biology, climate, traffic systems, even image analysis. The blog contains numerous and provocative articles on the subject of measuring and managing complexity.
2024-02-12 21:06
Complexity is defined formally via the following equation:
C=f(S; E)
where S stands for structure, E is entropy and f is a matrix operator. C is a scalar while S and E are both matrice… Read More
2024-02-04 10:27
Just because something can be done doesn’t mean it has to be done. This is true especially when speaking of technology. The fact that something is technically feasible doesn’t me… Read More
2024-01-27 01:06
Models are only models. Remember how many assumptions one must make to write a partial differential equation (PDE) describing the vibrations of a simple beam? The beam is long and slender, t… Read More
2023-12-31 11:53
The origin of the well known Murphy’s Laws may be traced to Edwards Air Force Base in 1949. A few of the most popular of these laws are listed below:
If anything can go wrong, it wi… Read More
2023-12-26 19:58
A BITCOIN drawdown early warning has been issued by the Uniratings daily alarm system at 4:00 AM CET on December 24-th, 2023 (22:00 EST December 23-rd).
On December 26-th, BITCOIN price d… Read More
2023-12-24 17:21
Artificial Intelligence (intelligence, really?) has been around for a few decades now. Recently, AI has become immensely popular, especially for its generative ability in using existing exam… Read More
2023-12-18 08:11
At Ontonix we have developed a comprehensive complexity metric and established a conceptual platform for practical and effective complexity management. The metric takes into account all the… Read More
2023-12-14 11:08
As products become more complex they become more fragile. It is necessary to focus on product robustness by making products less complex. This may be accomplished by using OntoNet, our QCM E… Read More
2023-12-12 13:32
The following is a short list of applications of QCM technology in medicine and pharma. The list reflects nearly two decades of experience in working with manufacturers of medical equipment… Read More
2023-12-11 16:22
The Probability of Default (PoD) of a company is the central concept behind a conventional rating. Ratings constitute a fundamental link between the markets and investors. Their importance c… Read More
2023-12-06 17:26
The following is a short list of applications of QCM technology in engineering, manufacturing and industrial process monitoring. The list is not in chronological order. In certain cases, pu… Read More
2023-12-05 19:40
There are numerous means of assessing the impact of Europe’s uncoordinated response to two recent and major events that are impacting the economy as well as reshaping the geopolitical… Read More
2023-12-02 09:28
Nowadays, many companies rely on a data-driven business model. This means they collect, store, process and analyse data in order to extract insights, knowledge and to make extrapolations, sp… Read More
2023-11-28 10:41
The so-called Complexity Science has been around for a few decades now. Chaos, as well as complexity, were buzzwords in the 1980s, pretty much like Artificial Intelligence is today. There ar… Read More
2023-10-28 05:41
Assessing the amount of damage onboard of a military vehicle has been shown using the QCM in one of our blogs. This short article shows how a similar approach can be applied to areas affecte… Read More
2023-10-27 10:26
“Activities that come under the umbrella of C4ISR are essentially efforts to use analysis of many inter acting streams of data to understand and exercise a degree of control over compl… Read More
2023-10-17 07:00
Quantitative Complexity Management – the next step in AI – is a futuristic technology the goes beyond Artificial Intelligence. QCM is built on QCT, the Quantitative Complexity Th… Read More
2023-10-03 16:37
The Daily Market Drawdown Alert System by Uniratings, an Ontonix brand, has been operating in a beta-testing mode since April 2023. It captures daily closing values of major indices &nda… Read More
2023-10-02 12:35
A recently published article discusses the issue of the recent shift in the global energy paradigm due to response of governments to pandemics and conflicts in the context of complexity. The… Read More
2023-09-25 16:32
Global complexity has been steadily increasing since the 1970s. Over the past 45 years, global complexity has increased by a factor of 4. Complexity is a proxy of globalization.
Global… Read More
2023-09-18 15:26
The blog provides a brief description of a Quantitative Complexity Management-based (QCM) network monitoring device. The QCM technology has been under development by Ontonix since 2005… Read More
2023-08-26 18:06
A recent article: “
2023 J.D Power’s Initial Quality Study Finds That Cars Are Getting More Problematic”
states:
“Really, it’s all the connectedness i… Read More
2023-08-15 15:02
This post is password protected. You must visit the website and enter the password to continue reading Read More
2023-08-14 10:22
From Wikipedia:
“Artificial intelligence (AI) is intelligence exhibited by machines. In computer science, the field of AI research defines itself as the study of “intelligent… Read More
2023-07-09 19:40
Generative Artificial Intelligence has the capability of generating fakes that are indistinguishable from the real thing. Clearly, in order to say that, we must have the real thing as a poin… Read More
2023-07-06 15:58
This blog is owned by Ontonix S.r.l. You may copy and distribute the content as long as you cite Ontonix S.r.l. as its author, you do not alter it and you do not use it for commercial purpos… Read More
2023-06-25 05:48
Our client, SAIC, uses QCM in technology development programs with the DoD, DHS and FAA. In a December 2022 AGU Fall Meeting (Chicago, 12-16 December, 2022), a presentation abstract by SAIC… Read More
2023-06-20 15:15
In the framwork of the European Horizon Project AFFIRMO, grant 899871, Ontonix has developed a Risk Stratification tool which provides a probability score of patient hospitalization within a… Read More
2023-05-27 17:39
In today’s turbulent world, punctuated by destabilizing events of increasing intensity and frequency, policy makers, governments and the military often speak of preparing for the worst… Read More
2023-05-25 18:13
From NASA Earth Sciences web page:
“SAIC is pleased to partner with NASA on a wildfire applications project that utilizes Artificial Intuition, a Quantitative Complexity Management… Read More
2023-05-08 05:34
Combinatorial optimization is the process of searching for maxima (or minima) of an objective function F whose domain is a discrete but large configuration space.
The space of possible so… Read More
2023-04-28 10:36
“Generative AI is a type of artificial intelligence technology that can produce various types of content including text, imagery, audio and synthetic data. The recent buzz around g… Read More
2023-04-25 08:41
Como, 24-th April, 2023. Ontonix Launches a beta version of the Daily Drawdown Alert System for bitcoin, gold and major market indices. The system, based on QCM2 – the second generatio… Read More
2023-04-16 10:03
All GPS navigation systems propose two options when it comes to route planning: the fastest and the shortest. The first one obviously targets minimum travel time, the second minimizes the di… Read More
2023-04-09 11:37
In a previous blog we have shown how complexity may be used in conjunction with streaming video. In this short note we illustrate an example of application of this technology to infer traffi… Read More
2023-04-08 07:45
Quantitative Complexity Management (QCM) technology has been applied to a very wide variety of data types and sources. In this short blog we illustrate the application of QCM to real-time pr… Read More
2023-04-06 14:20
Ontonix monitors the resilience of major countries and macro areas using the World Development Indicators published every year by the World Bank (download). There are over 1440 such indicato… Read More
2023-04-03 17:35
Il PNRR, ispirato a quello più generale della UE, il NGEU (Next Generation EU) di cui utilizzerà i fondi, prevede circa 192,5 miliardi di € da utilizzare entro il 2026 per… Read More
2023-03-19 16:33
The fall of SVB and Signature Bank are reflection of a much larger problem. In this short blog won’t go into the details of that or the actual dynamics of the failure.
Our goal is… Read More
2023-03-10 18:12
Ontonix Publishes Article in Biomedical Journal of Science and Technology on “Complexity Quantification and Comparison of Two Commercially Available Anti-Coagulants”. The article… Read More
2023-02-24 18:13
Ontonix has published an article entitled “Quantitative Complexity Theory (QCT) in Integrative Analysis of Cardiovascular Hemodynamic Response to Posture Change” in Life as part… Read More
2023-02-23 17:34
Recent experiments with ChatGPT on the issues of complexity, Artificial Intuition and early-warnings has provided interesting results. Two topics have been submitted:
“System state… Read More
2023-02-22 19:36
Numerous articles have been appearing about Artificial Intuition being the newset form of AI, actually fourth generation AI. One such article, describes Artificial Intuition as:
… Read More
2023-01-09 15:24
The object of this article is to examine the rating of systemic risks of groups (supply chains) of customers, also containing thousands of subjects. In the era of the globalized and intercon… Read More
2022-12-31 12:23
A recent pilot application has demonstrated our unique QCM-based Artificial Intuition capabilities in producing anomaly pre-alarms as well as diagnosing their sources. The case in question i… Read More
2022-12-30 11:08
Quantitative Complexity Management applications are limitless. Wherever there is data, QCM can provide new insights, knowledge and deeper understanding of how systems and processes function… Read More
2022-12-11 18:29
Risk = Probability X Consequences. Really?
Artificial Intuition
(image from www.impactlab.net)
Probably the most frequently used definition of risk is this one:
Risk = the Probabili… Read More
2022-12-11 18:09
How To Create New Derivatives Based on Complexity
Artificial Intuition
According to Wikipedia:
“In finance, a derivative is a special type of contract that derives its value from… Read More
2022-12-10 09:57
Car electronics: how much more complexity can we handle?
Artificial Intuition
As we know, excessive complexity is a formidable source of fragility. If you want to make something fragi… Read More
2022-12-04 16:11
Failed Doomsday and eco-pocalyptic predictions
Artificial Intuition
Extreme Problems are very large-scale multi-disciplinary problems, involving thousands or millions of variables and whic… Read More
2022-12-04 10:05
…. the best way to protect IP is to ….
Artificial Intuition
Intellectual Property (from Wikipedia) “is a category of property that includes intangible creations of the… Read More
2022-11-27 11:22
Data to Structure – New Paradigms in System Monitoring.
Artificial Intuition
Contemporary real time system monitoring appears to be the same in each discipline and field of… Read More
2022-11-17 12:42
It is widely believed that the advancement of technology does not only bring many risks and problems but also gives us opportunities to expand and extend our business. These disruptions have… Read More
2022-11-17 05:14
The global economy is in a state of rapid transformation in which words like stability, equilibrium, predictability, or sustainability have lost their meaning. At this point, what counts the… Read More
2022-11-05 16:21
We are pleased to inform you that the first edition of the AFFIRMO EU Project newsletter has been published. You may access it by clicking here.
Find out more about AFFIRMO by clicking he… Read More
2022-10-08 16:56
The importance of structure in physics and other branches of science cannot be overstated. Stucture is knowledge, structure is understanding. By structure we intend a map, or a graph, which… Read More
2022-09-25 16:54
An article about Ontonix and its technology featured in WATTNOW magazine, February 2007.
Below the full text.
Complexity’s hard Truth – the unravelling of the world
Say… Read More
2022-09-14 17:07
There is an on-going debate on whether computers can help generate knowledge. As we know, the oldest form of generating knowledge was via experimentation. Ever since man has started to exper… Read More
2022-09-08 11:24
In a recent blog we introduced the concept of isomorphic and isoentropic system. These are systems in which either the structure or the total entropy remain constant. However, there is anoth… Read More
2022-09-03 10:39
The Probability of Default (PoD) of a company is the central concept behind a conventional rating. Ratings constitute a fundamental link between the markets and investors. Their importance c… Read More
2022-09-03 05:08
The Resilience Management System is an online tool. It requires data in the form of a spreadsheet. The data should reflect the functioning of your business and can be anything ranging from a… Read More
2022-09-03 04:02
We deliver AUTOMATIC early warnings of big drawdowns, crashes in major markets, Bitcoin and gold.
Check out this week’s early warning signals here.
Subscribe to our early war… Read More
2022-09-01 12:03
Europe is struggling with a severe energy crisis. The cost of energy has risen rapidly over the past few months, affecting families and companies. Numerous small businesses are forced to clo… Read More
2022-08-28 11:17
The idea of Italy leaving the Euro and the European Union is being exploited by danger-thirsty politicians in light of the upcoming elections on September 25-th. This project appears reckles… Read More
2022-08-27 11:09
Our complexity metric, like all good metrics rooted in physics, has a lower and an upper bound. Critical complexity, as we know, is the maximum level of complexity any given system can susta… Read More
2022-08-20 15:31
Click here to navigate examples of Interactive Complexity Maps. Click on the boxes on the diagonal, or on the interdependencies (off-diagonal dots) and watch what happens Read More
2022-08-19 10:56
It is popular in the conventional ‘qualitative’ approach to complexity – whereby a metric of complexity isn’t at all considered – to say that “systems ar… Read More
2022-08-19 05:29
Ontonix launches a Market and Cryptocurrency Crash Anticipation System and Shorting Signals service, which delivers early warnings of large drawdowns or crashes in major markets, Bitcoin an… Read More
2022-08-15 07:55
“correlation is charlatanism”“Anything that relies on correlation is charlatanism” is a great article. But is correlation charlatanism? Yes it is. But it is not for t… Read More
2022-08-13 15:13
The fundamental equation of the QCT shows how complexity itself is a variable with its own dynamics. As the interplay between structure and entropy cannot be expressed in the form of a f… Read More
2022-08-13 05:27
The James Webb Space Telescope has delivered images of unseen quality.
Two images, both of the Southern Ring Nebula in near-infrared light, at left, and mid-infrared light, at right, are… Read More
2022-08-10 08:01
The following theorem provides further insight into what takes place at peak complexity of closed system.
What this shows is that at peak complexity, the number of entries of the… Read More
2022-08-09 18:07
Entropy happens to all things physical which are larger than an atom. This means they run down, decay, and eventually cease to exist in their original form. This unavoidable demise has led u… Read More
2022-08-08 12:21
Brexit is a reality since 23:00 GMT on 31 January 2020. Over the years, the hypothesis of Italy following Britain is gaining popularity. In particular, over the past year, following the irra… Read More
2022-08-04 06:16
In our past blog on the subject, we suggest that molecule complexity may be a proxy of its toxicity. In other words, a highly complex molecule can be more toxic because, on a molecular (atom… Read More
2022-08-03 13:40
Anything that can be called theory – a theory is something that can be verified empirically in a laboratory – usually has some characteristic constant, a metric, an equation, or… Read More
2022-07-23 17:13
Topological robustness, due to the fact that it addresses the Process Map of a given system, is a global measure of robustness. Let us now look into more detail into the issue of robustness… Read More
2022-07-05 09:34
A major concern shared by all drug manufacturers is that of drug toxicity.
However, because of the inability to predict successfully drug toxicity, drug manufacturers report billion-dolla… Read More
2022-06-11 12:42
One of the most frequent misconceptions about complexity is that the more components a system has the more complex it is. Conversely, a system with less components is bound to be simpler. Th… Read More
2022-06-07 13:44
Our technology allows us to produce early warnings of disruptions in manufacturing processes, supply chains, traffic systems, machinery, even stock market crashes, major economic crises or l… Read More
2022-06-05 11:24
Probability is central to many concepts in economics and in science. In economics we run across probability when we compute VaR, PoD-type ratings, when we design portfolios, estimate expecte… Read More
2022-05-16 10:31
In the past few days we have witnessed the collapse of the Luna cryptocurrency and its associated TerraUSD (UST) stablecoin, burning billions of dollars. The chart below shows the evolution… Read More
2022-04-26 11:31
Divide and rule policy (Latin: divide et impera), or divide and conquer, in politics and sociology is gaining and maintaining power by breaking up larger concentrations of power into pieces… Read More
2022-04-17 10:48
Artificial Intuition is beyond mainstream AI, beyond Machine Learning.
We don’t need to learn from examples to recognize anomalies.
More than that, we recognize them BEFORE they… Read More
2022-04-14 18:44
Proteins are modular in their construction. They are formed by chaining together amino acid molecules, with the smallest amino acid (glycine, C2H3NO) having 7 atoms and the largest (pyrrolys… Read More
2022-04-14 15:57
25th ITS World Congress, Copenhagen, Denmark, 17-21 September 2018Paper ID EU-TP1627, by Walter Aigner, Andreas Kuhn, Jacek Marczyk
AbstractWhile connected and automated driving has s… Read More
2022-03-29 09:12
In today’s turbulent world, punctuated by destabilizing events of increasing intensity and frequency, it is vital to know what a worst-case scenario is and which factors are critical… Read More
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