2024-03-14 00:17
I’ve talked about $TPR before, and I’m sticking to my guns here. They tried to pull off a Louis Vuitton $LVMUY, but let’s be real: it’s not hitting the mark. They bro… Read More
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2024-01-23 12:39
Invitae Corporation (NVTA) faces significant challenges in addressing its liquidity concerns. The firm is exploring multiple strategies to stabilize its financial and operational footing. Th… Read More
2024-01-10 15:23
CASGEVY approval
CASGEVY is a groundbreaking gene therapy, owned by CRISPR AG (CRSP) and Vertex (VRTX) specifically designed for the treatment of sickle cell disease (SCD) in individuals… Read More
2023-12-21 17:33
Given China’s significant role as a key player in the global economy, I maintain a vigilant and analytical approach to Professor Michael Pettis’ insights on its economic strategi… Read More
2023-11-10 14:37
As we navigate the currents of today’s financial markets, we’re witnessing a striking contrast between the resilience of equities and the cautious stance of the bond market. Equi… Read More
2023-10-04 20:35
The macro landscape is painting a fascinating picture of the inflationary environment, especially when we dive deep into the underlying narratives. The NBER folks help us get a more precise… Read More
2023-08-29 15:13
Executive Summary:
Grayscale Investments’ recent court ruling in favor of launching the first-ever Bitcoin ETF in the U.S. is a watershed moment for the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Be… Read More
2023-08-24 17:23
Wealth transfers have, throughout history, acted as a cornerstone of societal evolution. These transfers are not mere shifts of assets from one hand to another; they represent changes in pow… Read More
2023-08-21 18:01
In our constant endeavor to find companies ready to launch products and services in the gene therapy space, we come across Vertex Pharmaceuticals and CRISPR Therapeutics, who alongside blueb… Read More
2023-08-15 10:13
The macro narrative is missing a giant piece of the puzzle. Dive deep into the data, and an understated deflationary shock from China becomes evident. Surprisingly, in the face of a 6% depre… Read More
2023-08-11 12:08
Over the past decade, I’ve been notably bullish on China, driven by their remarkable growth trajectory since the 1970s and the potential for their equities to dominate globally. Howeve… Read More
2023-08-08 17:08
In a recent radio interview on the U.S. banking crisis, I talked about the urgent need for banking business models to adapt to the lightning-fast pace of real-time settlements. Why? Because… Read More
2023-08-04 14:18
Caitlin Long is someone I’ve been tracking for a while now. Trust me when I tell you, she knows her stuff when it comes to crypto. Recently, she’s dissected the demise of Prime T… Read More
2023-08-03 14:47
In the feverish madness of 2020 and 2021, the powers that be – governments and central banks – decided that maybe modern monetary theory works and used it to guide their policies… Read More
2023-08-02 16:41
The Soft landing Thesis
Contrary to the mainstream financial prophecy (including my own), The Federal Reserve (FED) persists in its narrative that there will not be a recession in the nea… Read More
2023-08-01 17:24
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is taking the macro world for a spin. It’s shaking up its yield curve control (YCC) policy, expanding its trading band for 10-year GDP yields from a range of 50… Read More
2023-07-26 19:53
Summary
The global market is potentially at the precipice of a significant downturn due to an ‘Everything Bubble’, encompassing not just equities but also housing, bonds, and… Read More
2023-04-06 11:17
Executive Summary
Central banks and regulators have fueled debt growth, leading to potential economic instability; Bitcoin offers a hedge against risks.
Bitcoin’s predictive natu… Read More
2023-03-23 13:06
In a world where cryptocurrencies and digital assets are in turmoil, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is locked in an internal battle. It’s the Wild West of crypto, wher… Read More
2023-01-26 22:40
Several analysts have pointed out that Tesla has a demand issue. However Musk downplayed the problems in the earnings call. The company is seeing strong demand for its products and has seen… Read More
2023-01-19 10:16
In my opinion, the crypto market and the stock market will behave differently in the coming economic recession. While the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy will have an impact on both… Read More
2022-12-30 10:44
I’ve gone through a couple of Twitter threads on Solana, and it changed my perception of the chain.Solana’s all about scalability without sacrificing decentralization or security… Read More
2021-03-17 00:11
(Photo credit: Ehud Neuhaus)
I don’t think so. Why?
Inflation has several causes, and different factors have different weights at different times. Production capacity, production… Read More
2021-02-25 19:33
Summary
Illumina and its short reading technology pushed the sequencing costs down during the last decade.Long reads and artificial intelligence are improving the sequencing and will like… Read More
2021-02-06 17:07
(Photo credit: BTC Keychain)
The Gamestop debacle showed us a couple of things. First, intermediaries in our centralized financial system might have been cheating. The number of short pos… Read More
2021-01-28 15:07
Photo credit: Mike Mozart
The GameStop episode is not about valuation. It is about supply and demand. With 130% short interest and what seems to be a volume of puts issued way bigger than… Read More
2021-01-26 11:13
The monetary architecture that rules the world is one of the most important pillars of US dominance. And the US dollar is one of its most important tools. The reserve currency of the world h… Read More
2020-12-23 16:07
Photo Credit: Open Grid Scheduler
Prelude
There are two sides to the Tesla story. The first is the stock price, and the second is the underlying business. They seldom seem to reconcile… Read More
2020-11-23 12:24
Most market pundits take GDP and inflation statistics at face value. They shouldn’t.Likely, the economic scenario is more benign than anticipated.That leaves us looking for pockets of… Read More
2020-11-11 12:13
Photo credit: Masaru Kamikura
The title kind of says it all. Intel (INTC) has kept profitability when compared with AMD (AMD) and Nvidia (NVDA). For instance, Intel is still more profitab… Read More
2020-10-07 10:57
Photo credit: Diogo Torres Silvestre
During the last couple of years, chipmakers have been star stocks. In the same period that the S&P 500 rose 57%, AMD put on an impressive 2,576% r… Read More
2020-09-29 09:45
Photo credit: Fritzchens Fritz
The narrative
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has been a star stock for the last couple of years. In the same period that the S&P 500 rose 56%, AMD put… Read More
2020-08-19 21:42
photo credit: BorsheimsJewelry
These days, everyone is riding on the back of Berkshire’s (BRK.A) (BRK.B) recent Barrick (GOLD) position. Gold bulls see it as a victory indicating th… Read More
2020-07-27 15:52
Summary
The EU countries reached a deal for an economic recovery plan.
The amount will likely be insufficient.
However, the way it is structured opens interesting possibilities, and… Read More
2020-07-17 23:09
Summary
The company missed the COVID-19 play, even though the work-at-home relies on data usage and storage, which suited Micron.Business practices seem to justify the outcome so far. But… Read More
2020-06-12 11:26
Photo credit: Eric Kilby
I have written extensively about why I think that we’re in a bear market rally. Maybe I’m wrong, but it is a thesis worth exploring. At present, it se… Read More
2020-06-05 21:12
Credit to zigtrade
Honestly, this one made my day:
Warren Buffett reading this pic.twitter.com/ig28gynvcm— Mack (@therealpamack) June 5, 2020
One hell of a year
2020 keeps g… Read More
2020-05-29 14:35
One can make the argument that the best thing emanating from the Randgold takeover by Barrick (GOLD) was the CEO. As the merger negotiations finalized, Mark Bristow became the new Barrick CE… Read More
2020-05-26 10:09
My boy Jerome.
My boy Jerome and WSB Bulls these days from wallstreetbets
My boy Jerome and his relation with bears.
JPow when ’s start returni… Read More
2020-05-18 13:39
Sorrento was Friday’s headline trade. The company’s CEO stunned the world by claiming that Sorrento had a 100% efficient cure for COVID-19. Investors and speculators alike flocke… Read More
2020-05-14 20:11
It has been a couple o though weeks for people who think that economics should matter for asset valuations. Therefore, I’ve decided to start a wrap-up on wall street humor. Probably, a… Read More
2020-05-14 09:39
Summary
Tankers were the trade du jour back in April.It was a hit-and-run trade, and now stock prices have corrected heavily.However, it seems that, with all the commotion around negative… Read More
2020-04-27 10:02
Summary
The Fed’s move to placate the high-yield corporate bond market reinforced my conviction in the gold trade.Gold has performed very well. So well, that we are considering to t… Read More
2020-04-14 07:44
Photo credit: Sam valadi
The world is becoming increasingly faster, and so do markets. However, this seems to be getting a bit extreme. The market went from total euphoria in February to… Read More
2020-04-09 14:37
Picture credit: Federalreserve
One thing is for sure, the Fed under J. Powel is a very different beast. Yes, his predecessors started the unconventional monetary policies that have become… Read More
2020-03-30 13:58
Summary
Assessing the duration of the lockdown is the real key to understand the impact on the economy.Industries a with high proportion of fixed costs will be more vulnerable to a long s… Read More
2020-03-20 12:20
Photo credit: Federalreserve
The credit market will be pivotal during the current crisis. In 2008, we had a problem in the credit market (Subprime mortgages), which made financial institu… Read More
2020-03-16 12:30
Source: Philip Taylor
Gold underperformance during periods of panic is not new. If you look at the great financial crisis, you’ll see that the same happened then. The gold price… Read More
2020-03-12 12:16
Below, I share a video made by Bridgewater staff. The video is already a bit old (recorded on February 26, 2020). However, I think it does a great job explaining the social and economic impa… Read More
2020-03-08 23:16
Summary
A couple of weeks ago, I proposed that the virus would make an impact on the economy, and, by default, on the complacent market.Now, it seems like the virus is spreading out of Ch… Read More
2020-02-01 17:38
Summary
The virus seems more contagious, but less fatal than the SARS 2003 outbreak.The fact that it might be more contagious increases the likelihood of negative economic impact.With the… Read More
2019-12-30 11:26
Jim Rogers is one of my biggest influences in the markets. Although I am not a contrarian, I like his contrarian instinct. He is very commonsensical, making justice to his Southern roots. In… Read More
2019-11-25 15:51
Summary
The auto industry has been dealing with compressed earnings multiples for some time now. The market identifies traditional automakers as value traps. Automakers will need to br… Read More
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