The SMU Mustangs and the North Texas Mean Green will face off this Saturday, September 3, 2016 at 7:00 pm at Apogee Stadium in the opener for both squads. Betting odds are already available at Bovada Sportsbook, where you can get a 100% kickoff bonus.

SMU returns eight starters to its offense, including starting QB Matt Davis. That gives us a bit of a picture on what to expect from them, which is that this is a two-win team that averaged just 27.8 points per game last season. The Mustangs also bring back their No. 1 running back, Xavier Jones. Jones rushed for just 634 yards and 10 TDs with a 4.2 yard per carry average. If things don´t look good on offense they look even worse defensively, as SMU ranked in the bottom-10 nationally, allowing 45.7 points per game while surrendering 502.2 yards per game.

The North Texas Mean Green had a difficult 2015 season and struggled on both sides of the ball. New head coach Seth Littrell is starting his first full season for UNT after taking over for Dan McCarney, who was fired last season after a 66-7 loss to Portland State. Littrell has the tough task of turning around a program that is 5-19 in the last two seasons. North Texas ranked 121st in the nation in total offense and 120th in defense in 2015. North Texas had just one win in 2015.

Betting Trends

• Mean Green are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home games.
• Mean Green are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Mustangs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
• Mustangs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

There is some optimism coming out of North Texas and they should come out with some motivation at home to lose by ten points against a bad team.

Free Pick: North Texas +10

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