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Fine!! Here’s a Marner article, but you’re not gonna like it!!

The Mitch Marner fiasco has once again been shifted into high gear after Elliott Friedman said in his latest 31 Thoughts that things are “tense and personal.”

I think mistake #1 was bringing feelings to the negotiating table, but I digress.

Rumour after rumour has hit the wires over the summer, so I’m going to try to sift through a few.

A while back it was rumoured that there was a Deal on the table that Brendan Shanahan nixed. The numbers were around 3 years at 9-10M. Now, with Friedman also having said that Marners camp pitched a 3 year deal similar to the Timo Meier/Zach Werenski contracts, where the final year would have the highest salary and would thus lead to a massive qualifying offer once the player hits restricted free agency again, I’m wondering if both rumours are one and the same. Friedman says that the final year of the proposed deal would have been around the $15M range, which would mean a massive qualifying offer. He went on to say that the offer is no longer relevant, as it was made some months ago.

The timeline of rumours might line up, and it would make sense is Shanahan turned that deal away as it would be a terrible deal for the Leafs.

2. It is impossible to write or talk about Marner without offending someone, so here is my attempt at a bias-free take: It’s tense and personal. My belief is Toronto is willing to go to an $11-million AAV, but only if he signs for seven years. I’d heard both sides might agree to two years — then let arbitration sort it out — but a few sources threw cold water on that. I mentioned during a radio hit last week the rumour that Marner’s representatives pitched a three-year contract with a structure similar to the Meier/Werenski setup, with the third season as high as $15 million. However, I’m told that was several months ago and is no longer relevant, although both sides have continued to explore that kind of an option. I don’t sense things are anywhere close.”

Next we have Darren Dreger (aka Paul Marner) with this gem of a tweet today:

A 7 year 77M contract would catapult Marner up the list of players in the NHL as far as payment is concerned. Only Connor McDavid, Artemi Panarin, Auston Matthews and Erik Karlsson would have higher cap hits. It sounds as if there is only a single name on that list that means anything to him though, and that’s Auston Matthews.

So what’s the solution here? A trade? At this point in the game I think it’s nearly impossible to pull off a deal that would make sense for the Leafs for a few reasons. For starters teams will smell weakness and offer far less than market value. On top of that if the team that trades for him knows they need to pay him … what? 11.5M over 5 years? Knowing that takes another chunk off his value. Basically Mitch has succeeded in making sure the Leafs aren’t able to trade him for anything close to what he’s worth, while also making it impossible for them to sign him because he’s butt hurt and demanding more than they can give.

I have to admit, I didn’t see this coming.

The only real solution is this:

Give him close to the Auston Matthews deal, 5 years at 11.25M, and do it knowing that if things get rough you’ll have a massive trade chip on your hands. If the coming TV deal changes the landscape then you get to live with that contract, but if not then you know what rumours are coming next, the fan favourite trade rumours.



This post first appeared on Leafs Hub, please read the originial post: here

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Fine!! Here’s a Marner article, but you’re not gonna like it!!

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