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Prospect Report Part 1: Goalies

This article kicks off a mid-season Leafs Prospect update. We’ll walk through each player whose rights are held by the Leafs either through signing or drafting and give an update on their performance this season and where they stand in the organization. Not included are Frederik Andersen, Garret Sparks and Michael Hutchinson.

Zach Bouthillier

Bio

  • Team: Saint John Sea Dogs (QMJHL)
  • Stats: 11-9-3, 3.26 GAA, .887 SV%
  • Age: 19
  • Draft: 2017, 7th Round, 209th Overall

Overview

Though Bouthillier is by far the youngest of the three “other” Goalie prospects not named Ian Scott or Joseph Woll, not reaching above an .894 save percentage in a single season of QMJHL hockey doesn’t necessarily slot Bouthillier in as a highly-touted prospect. Should he finish with a save percentage under .900 this season, he’ll be the first CHL goalie that the Leafs have drafted since Todd Ford (2002 Draft) who didn’t record at least a .900 save percentage in any full CHL season. Below is a shot of Bouthillier and Ford’s stats from hockeydb.com and where Ford went on to play later. More or less, it would project Bouthillier as an ECHLer.

Bouthillier:

Ford:

That being said, maybe a fresh start with the Saint John Sea Dogs could be a positive change for Bouthillier. He’s only 19 and showed signs of what he could do in last year’s playoffs with Chicoutimi, posting a .931 save percentage in six games. Plus, having an extra goalie in the system can only be a positive for Toronto.

Future

The likely situation would be that Bouthillier returns to the ‘Q’ for an overage season. He’s not ready to go pro and there likely wouldn’t be any room for him either. Back in the QMJHL next year, he’ll get an extra year to develop before there can be more of an assessment on what his long-term ceiling is.

Prospect Level: C-/D+

Kasimir Kaskisuo

Bio

  • Team: Toronto Marlies(AHL)
  • Stats: 6-6-0, 3.57 GAA, .874 SV%
  • Age: 25
  • Draft: Undrafted

Overview

Trying to track how often he was called up and sent back down during Frederik Andersen’s absence would give you a headache. When the Leafs signed Kaskisuo, he looked like a promising prospect coming out of U. Minnesota-Duluth, putting up a .917 and a .923 save percentage respectively in two seasons. His professional career hasn’t lived up to the same performance. 

Kaskisuo’s poor play was a major reason in the defending Calder Cup champion Marlies’ slow start and at already 25 years old, his window to prove himself is pretty much closed. Below are his stats, from hockeydb.com:

Future

Despite call-ups, Kaskisuo isn’t going to be an NHL goalie. He still has another year left on his deal which he’ll likely spend with the Marlies and after that, who knows.

Prospect Level: C-/D+

Eamon McAdam

Bio

  • Team: Newfoundland Growlers (ECHL)
  • Stats: 9-4-1, 2.81 GAA, .898 SV%
  • Age: 24
  • Draft: 3rd Round, 70th Overall (New York Islanders)

Overview

When Matt Martin was moved to the New York Islanders last summer, most people probably checked on whether salary was retained before they checked what the return was. Upon seeing the trade, the name Eamon McAdam probably wasn’t very familiar. 

When he was brought in, he was probably the sixth string goalie in the organization and there wasn’t a lot of hope that he’d make it to relevance. But of the three goalies who split the bulk of the games for the Marlies this year before Michael Hutchinson arrived, McAdam started more games than both Kasimir Kaskisuo and former Marlie Jeff Glass and had better stats (though they are by no means good stats). Here are McAdam’s stats via hockeydb.com.

Honestly, I think it was the wrong choice to send McAdam down to the ECHL rather than Kaskisuo. McAdam had an almost not-horrible save percentage with the Marlies this year, while the others were a long ways off.

Future

McAdam isn’t an NHL goalie and never will be. If McAdam does stick around past the season, his ceiling likely would be an AHL starter but getting to that point would still require some work. With Kaskisuo under contract for another year and Ian Scott likely jumping to the AHL next year, McAdam may move on. 

Prospect Level: C

Ian Scott

Bio

  • Team: Prince Albert Raiders (WHL)
  • Stats: 28-4-2, 1.79 GAA, .936 SV%
  • Age (as of Dec. 31, 2018): 19
  • Draft: 2017, 4th Round, 110th Overall

Overview

Scott just signed his entry-level contract and deservingly so. In 34 games with Prince Albert, he’s gone 28-4-2 with a ridiculous 1.79 goals against average and .936 save percentage- good enough for the WHL lead in both categories– and he’s even scored a goal. He also has by far the best single season save percentage of any goalie the Leafs have drafted in the 2000s, as shown below:

He was below a .900 save percentage in the WHL the past three years so he’ll need to prove this isn’t a one-off, but more so it just seems as though Scott has found his game and is ready for the next level.

Future

He suited up for Canada at the World Juniors this year still at least few years away from really being considered NHL-ready. That being said, with shaky goaltending as the factor that was holding back the Marlies, he’ll bring stability in the crease next year, should he make the jump to pro.

Prospect Level: B+

Joseph Woll

Bio

  • Team: Boston College (NCAA)
  • Stats: 7-10-2, 2.21 GAA, .925 SV%
  • Age: 20
  • Draft: 2016, 3rd Round, 62nd Overall

Overview

Two years down the road, the Marlies look poised for another round of the Sparks/Pickard goalie tandem, but this time with Scott and Woll. Woll has been consistently good in the NCAA the past three years. Among the 74 goaltenders who have played 10 or more NCAA games so far this year, Woll ranks tied for 11th in save percentage and tied for 19th in goals against. His stats are fairly comparable to those of Charlie Lindgren, a goalie in the Montreal Canadiens system, though Lindgren did begin his NCAA career two years older than Woll (stats via hockeydb.com):

Woll

Lindgren

Though his stats are good, when you look at many high-end goalie prospects or NHL goalies to come out of the NCAA, their save percentage is much higher.

Connor Hellebuyck had .941 and .952 in two years, Thatcher Demko put up a .919, .925 and .935 in three seasons, while Jon Gillies put up two seasons of .931 and one of .930. So this isn’t to say Woll hasn’t been good in the NCAA, but those who typically come out as a top prospect have an incredible save percentage, while Woll’s is just very good.

Future

Woll still has another year of eligibility left with Boston College and it’s likely he’ll see it through. I’d imagine he’ll be with the Marlies for the start of the 2020-21 season. He’s a solid prospect and if not for Scott’s emergence this season, Woll would be considered Toronto’s top goalie prospect.

Prospect Level: B

Forward and Defence Prospect Reports will be coming soon.



This post first appeared on Leafs Hub, please read the originial post: here

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Prospect Report Part 1: Goalies

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