DraftKings / FanDuel MLB Lineup Picks for September 14, 2017
Opponent – vs. CIN
DraftKings – $10,900
FanDuel – $
On the early slate, I make the case for paying right up for Angels youngster Luke Weaver. His salary has reached a season high and for good reason. He has been dominant, to say the least, through six starts with a 2.16 ERA, 2.77 xFIP, and elite 11.23 K/9 rate. He has allowed more than two earned runs in a start just once and has shown some nice control walking under 2.5 batters per nine. Today he faces a Reds team that ranks mid pack when lookign at runs scored but have struggled down the stretch ranking 24th in wOBA(.295), 25th in wRC+(78) over the past 14 days while striking out 20.9% of the time. Today’s early set of games looks a lot like a GPP only slate and Weaver makes a very high upside play to center your lineup around.
Opponent – @ LAA
DraftKings – $10,100
FanDuel – $
The main slate is not much better when looking at the pitchers and like the early slate, has a GPP only feel to it. In this situation with limited “safe” options I tend to lean on the pitcher with the most upside and tonight that is Brad Peacock. In his first full season since 2014, he has been terrific with a 3.05 ERA, 3.56 xFIP, and elite 11.74 K/9 rate. Looking at the game logs, he has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 11 of his last 14 games. The only issue with Peacock is the high walk rate(3.99 BB/9) that pushes his pitch count up fast. This makes him more of a risk on FanDuel where quality starts are a factor.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Amir Garrett(CIN)
This recommendation has much more to do with the pitcher than the offense. Amir Garrett made his return to the Reds rotation last Friday and looked just as awful as he did before he was sent down June. He allowed four earned runs(3 HR) over five innings which pushed his ERA up to 7.39 for the season and he has now given up 22 home runs in 13 starts giving him a horrific 28.9% HR/FB rate. The Cardinals have been a middle of the road offense this season when looking at run scoring but have been a tick better against left-handed pitching with a .330 wOBA(11th) and 103 wRC+(9th) and .192 ISO(4th). Take advantage of the elite matchup and cheaper prices on the Cards players.
Top Hitters to Stack: Thomas Pham, Jose Martinez, Paul Dejong, Harrison Bader
Houston Astros vs. Ricky Nolasco(LAA)
The Astros have been streaky down the stretch but still own the league’s top offense when looking at runs scored. They also lead the way when looking at production vs. right handed pitching with a .350 wOBA, 121 wRC+, and .200 ISO on the season. Tonight they face a struggling Rocky Nolasco who has allowed 11 earned runs over his last three starts pushing his ERA up to 5.19 for the season. He has also had issues keeping the ball in the park with a 17.8% HR/FB rate while giving up 37.3% hard contact overall. For the most part, you will also want to target the Astros righties as Nolasco gives up a whopping .393 wOBA to them(.333 vs. LH).
Top Hitters to Stack: George Springer, Alex Bregman, Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa
Thank you for reading and if you have any questions as lineup lock approaches please contact me via Twitter (@Jager_Bombs9)
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