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Goffin vs Tiafoe Betting Pick
David Goffin and Frances Tiafoe are both players with massive upside that typically do not get as deep in major tournaments as they would like. Here, they face one another with a chance to make it to the quarterfinals of Wimbledon, where they would have a genuine chance to reach the semis. In our tennis betting picks from Wimbledon’s middle Sunday, we look at Goffin vs Tiafoe in a golden opportunity of a match for both men.
Why Bet On Frances Tiafoe:
Tiafoe is 1-4 all-time against Goffin, which will be used to justify many selections on Goffin here. But Goffin was the higher seeded player in all but one of those previous matches, which was contested on clay at this year’s French Open. The history between these men largely took place in 2019 and earlier, and has very little bearing on the two men today.
Goffin, by the way, got a very favorable draw to make it to the round of 16 at this year’s Wimbledon. He has faced Radu Albot, a clay courter in Sebastian Baez, and Ugo Humbert, who was fortunate to advance past clay courter Casper Ruud to get to a third round match with Goffin. Here, Goffin’s luck of the draw has run out against a very capable player on grass in Tiafoe.
Tiafoe has won a higher percentage of first and second serve points on serve than Goffin. He has won more second serve points while returning than Goffin during this tournament as well. The statistical edge goes the way of Tiafoe in this matchup and that will help him get the win here along with his superior explosivity.
David Goffin has dropped one set so far at Wimbledon, winning his first two matches in straights before beating Ugo Humbert in four sets. He has undoubtedly had a favorable draw to this point, but so has everyone in this quarter with Casper Ruud serving as the highest seeded player in this section. Here, Goffin has a huge chance to get to a major quarterfinal where he would face the winner of Cam Norrie and Tommy Paul.
For Goffin, the question is whether he can avoid trouble on his own service games. Goffin is always going to be a threat to pile up breaks, but he lacks the explosive first serve necessary to cruise through his turns to serve. Against Tiafoe, dueling with groundstrokes may not end well for the Belgian if Goffin cannot find easy points.
After a straightforward first two rounds, Frances Tiafoe needed four sets to take care of Alexander Bublik in the third round. In that match with Bublik, the Kazakh player had a combined 115 winners and unforced errors, as he was the one ending points rather than Tiafoe. Here, Tiafoe will be back in his comfort zone as he should have the majority of points on his racquet as the more powerful player.
In the first two rounds of this tournament, Tiafoe did a great job of limiting his unforced errors despite having the majority of the points end on his racquet. If he can do so again here, Tiafoe could make his deepest run in a major since the 2019 Australian Open.
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