Key Bets & Races for October 21/22
Friday, October 21
Pin Oak Valley View Stakes - Race #9 at Keeneland– Approx. Post 5:30 PM ET
Azaelia may be a standout in this year's Valley View Stakes on class alone. In her last start, Azaelia just finished 4th of 16 in the French Oaks with both the winner and runner-up coming back to win off those efforts. She finished 2nd in a Group 3 stakes before that, the class of a group 3 in Europe superior to the class of a North American Grade 3 stakes like this one. Geroux takes the call and repeating any of her last two efforts in France should be good enough to win even though her North American competition is very talented. My Impression won like a good thing in the Commonwealth Oaks last month, a grade 3 stakes just like this one. She's now 4 for 7 in her career and Jose Ortiz has been aboard for 3 of her 4 career wins. The 103 Equibase Figure earned in the Oaks is best among those that have run in North America, but nowhere near the 121 figure equivalent Azaelia having earned in the French Oaks. Sassy Little Lila gets a longshot look to win and a big look to be part of the exacta or trifecta if she gets in from the also-eligible list as she won easily by 5 lengths at Saratoga in her most recent start and has shown improvement since debuting in June. The 99 figure was solid and she was flattered when the 3rd finisher won her next start. Linda may not be disadvantaged by her outside post as she can drop back early to save ground then come around the field as she did in her most recent start when rallying from 7th to win for her 2nd victory in a row, both on grass. Her last race 99 figure is on par with most of the main contenders as it is, but like many in here she still has improving to do as a 3 year old. Cheekaboo comes from dead last much of the time, such as last month when 12th with a quarter mile to go and beaten 2 lengths at the end. She won a stakes on Turf in May and the Grade 2 Honeymoon Stakes in June so on occasion she has demonstrated the kind of ability that can win this race. As such, she rounds out a quintet of contenders. Tin Type Gal, Triple Chelsea and Quidura can be considered contenders for second and third on exacta and trifecta tickets played.
Bet Late Spring to win at odds of 3 to 2 or higher. Consider a second, but smaller, win bet on My Impression at 5/2 or higher. Small ($5 or less) win bets can be made on Sassy Little Lila, Linda and Cheekaboo at 4 to 1 or more.
Play an exacta consisting of Azaelia and My Impression over Azaelia, My Impression, Sassy Little Lila, Linda, Cheekaboo, Tin Type Gal, Triple Chelsea and Quidura.
Play an exacta box consisting of Azaelia, My Impression and Sassy Little Lila.
Play an trifecta consisting of Azaelia and My Impression over Azaelia, My Impression, Sassy Little Lila, Linda, Cheekaboo, Tin Type Gal, Triple Chelsea and Quidura over Azaelia, My Impression, Sassy Little Lila, Linda, Cheekaboo, Tin Type Gal, Triple Chelsea and Quidura.