First NBA game starts in about 30 min with:
Betting is 76 % on the Road Favorite with the line moving from -5.5 to -5. So here we have a very high public number on the road favorite with a pretty reverse line move. Models are neutral. Variables are neutral on the game. But the 76% is a high number and a reverse line move with it would steer me away from Cleveland. I am passing on the game. I need much more to take Atlanta!
Saturday we had another busy day with 2 one Unit Plays in MLB, two 1/2 unit plays, and 2 Setups.
We went 1-1 on our 1 unit plays winning with the Yankees +136 8-2 and Losing with Toronto +146 2-6. Our 1/2 unit plays went 0-2 losing with Cleveland -102 0-7 and Portland Under 213.5 120-108. Our bet or pass setups went 0-2 losing with Colorado +159 1-2 in 13 innings and losing with Washington +131 5-8.
So in Baseball, we lost .14 units and in the NBA -.55 units.
Today looking over the games it’s shaping up to be another busy day at least 2 hours before game times. I received a very good response from my post yesterday with most of the emails thanking me for my honesty and transparency. In addition showing an appreciation of telling it the way things actually are instead of promising the moon as most services do.
For those new to this site it probably comes as a surprise that a handicapper that charges a modest monthly subscription would be so honest but for those that have been following me the last 13 years know it’s simply the way I do business.
I would rather have potential subscribers read the must read portion of the site and decide the service is not for them then have subscribers that have unrealistic expectations. If this theoretically would mean I wold have no subscribers then so be it. I am not going to compromise my principles by misleading or reporting false results. But you can take a look at my results over the past 13 years and almost everything is here on the site in plain view.
As I have said my goal is to be profitable in every Sport. It’s not a goal I have obtained yet, however, the NBA and NHL that in the past have been breakeven sports are now very good ROI sports. College hoops even with a dramatic drawdown the last month of the season was a very good performer. Baseball to date is off 1.605 units so it’s very early to be predicting either way. Typically baseball has been my worst sport but the adjustments I made in the NBA and NHL were also made in MLB. So I am very optimistic….so optimistic that I stand to refund quite a bit of money if I am negative in MLB come august 31st! We will see:)
Back to work for me. If anyone has any question or improvements I can make to the site I always welcome constructive criticism. In addition, thanks to everyone that did me a favor and shared, posted, liked what I had to say yesterday. It showed up in the increased activity on the site. I appreciate it and if it’s not too much trouble if you enjoy reading this site please keep it up!
Good Luck Today
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
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