2024-02-19 02:21
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A compendium of plagiarized ideas
2024-02-01 05:15
There are various creative ways to use LLMs in Cryptography and Steganography (hiding of text)
LLMs are ideal mimic functions which imitate English text produced by a human being
There… Read More
2024-01-31 11:26
You are supposed to cross it
Not fish in it.
Fishing in the Rubicon (especially on January 6th) requires a permit. And you will go to jail if you try.
Where as crossing the Rubicon… Read More
2024-01-27 03:38
Even rotten groceries are cheap. So beware of just going by cheapness (Price to X ratios where X is Earnings, Book, FCF, Sales etc.). A lot of cheap things on the market deserve to be cheap… Read More
2024-01-06 11:05
2023-12-09 11:59
Globalization and free trade can still work
if one country is not exporting their local currency by creating perpetual local deficits to keep the global trade well oiled and well financed… Read More
2023-11-06 12:05
US refineries (total) only store about 40 million gallons of military-grade jet fuel at any given time, or about 36,400 flight hours for an F/A-18E/F Super Hornet launched from an aircraft c… Read More
2023-11-06 12:02
Shanghai Gold Exchange physical Gold premiums (vs the West) has dropped from around 6% to 1.5% This is while the Gold price at the West rose from around $1830 to $2000
Western Gold price… Read More
2023-10-18 15:27
2023-10-15 17:31
Ian M Banks novels are about The Culture vs The Idirans. The Culture is a attractive western liberal utopia which seeks to assimilate everything by making everything optional and pleasure in… Read More
2023-10-03 15:10
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. And this extends to threats and risks. They must be demonstrated.
If UFOs that appear over USA can beat any weapon in China or Russia… Read More
2023-10-03 13:24
To consistently do fusion for long periods like the sun better than the sun won’t be easy, because it does not happen anywhere in the universe. Most of the stuff in the sun doesn&rsquo&hell…Read More
2023-09-21 17:37
For picking the right games and deciding how much to bet, only mathematics can help develop the right intuition. If there is only a 2 out of 10 chance to get 1.1 times your investment, the o… Read More
2023-09-07 11:22
It’s amazing how similar war is to the game of Go but without a square grid
The chains in Go are like supply chains and trenches. To cut off a line feels like cutting of supply chai… Read More
2023-08-27 16:17
Governments will never let the price of oil go up due to increases in money supply, because that will cause prices of everything else to go up. So they will use taxes, interest rates, and ca… Read More
2023-08-14 04:23
Most governments are not willing to sell their local debt to foreigners to fund infinite deficits. Without foreign held debt offshore use of non-G10 currencies cannot take off, because the m… Read More
2023-08-09 17:58
There is a myth that goes like this:
The transition from British Hegemony to American Hegemony was a bit of an aberration for how peacefully it happened (American and British soldiers ha… Read More
2023-06-01 15:19
The Office of Personnel Management data breach was a 2015 data breach targeting Standard Form 86 (SF-86) U.S. government security clearance records retained by the United States Office of Pe… Read More
2023-05-30 16:58
Without democracy Myanmar is sending oil via a pipeline to China
So we need to force oil to be send to China solely via the Malacca straits which can be naval blockaded by USA using its e… Read More
2023-05-21 15:49
I can guess how the Bretton Woods 3.0 will work. Central banks will have accounts with each other, and hold gold. Since some currencies are more useful than others to buy stuff, e.g. the Yen… Read More
2023-05-07 03:24
Conway’s law states organizations design systems that mirror their own communication structure.
During a low interest rate regime, software companies borrow more to capture market s… Read More
2023-05-04 15:57
What surprised me about Plato’s Timaeus is the ancient Egyptian priest that spoke to Plato’s ancestor Solon was less superstitious, and less religious than priests today. One wou… Read More
2023-04-11 16:03
In the previous post I wrote that US government needs a new type of collateral that everybody desires, and offer a guaranteed floor price for it.
Collateral is only necessary if everyone… Read More
2023-04-09 14:10
De-sterlingization took many decades after The Allies paid the U.S. for supplies in gold during World War I, propelling the U.S. to become the largest holder of gold, and after that GBP was… Read More
2023-04-01 10:19
What the Chinese and Russians mean when they say hypersonic gliders is the red trajectory in the pic. What Americans mean when they say they already did hypersonic weapons 50 years ago is th… Read More
2023-03-31 07:09
I am always afraid to jinx myself in public with forward looking statements about the financial markets. But here are few bad ideas being circulated right now.
Most USD was created in the… Read More
2023-02-26 02:08
Regarding Aliens
Alien human hybrids are just gruesome results of medical experiments on humans and children.
Aliens are just gruesome results of medical experiments on humans and chil… Read More
2023-01-19 12:53
2023-01-17 06:48
Even during GFC countries where buying USG bonds: https://ticdata.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/mfhhis01.txtBut last year was different countries sold bonds ht… Read More
2023-01-10 04:22
Last year foreign holders of US debt sold a combined half a trillion dollars of US debt. The inflation in USA is partly due to this. Because the Federal Reserve sets the floor price for bond… Read More
2022-12-25 15:50
If Tibetans were not so politically important to the West in its schemes and plans, Tibet would be considered a theocracy which violates human rights much like ISIS.
Trader Gyebo Sherpa w… Read More
2022-11-30 14:22
Gold
Gold has a natural interest rate of negative one percent which is the the fee you would pay the vault owner to store gold. So fiat money only had to offer a real interest rate which… Read More
2022-11-05 23:38
There is a lot to life which is like tears in the rain. A lot of good deeds are forgotten. There are many hidden Atlases around who hold world up with no recognition or payment.
To compen… Read More
2022-10-22 03:09
TL;DR: It is Felix Brandt, Professor of Computer Science, Technische Universität München
Thanks to Deep Learning based stylometry it is possible to analyze computer code, emails… Read More
2022-09-29 13:26
For every 50 million USD VCs raise from their LPs they need a 2 billion USD exit or else VCs wont even break-even. So VCs only give each startup ~1 million USD from above 50 million, and eve… Read More
2022-09-29 06:18
Bitcoin is the only 0% p.a. interest rate risk-free asset. Gold has an interest rate of -1% p.a. interest rate risk free. This -1% p.a. is what you pay to a vault owner to secure your gold f… Read More
2022-08-24 17:14
Lack of evidence for string theoryLack of evidence for super-symmetryLack of evidence for non-baryonic, cold, dissipation-less, collision-less Dark matter.Broken Lambda CDM:The ecliptic plan… Read More
2022-08-17 04:56
Source: https://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/document/121325.pdf?v=b6f92f00846fba4e9b2891ea5320a5f5
https://www.state.gov/u-s-relations-with-taiwan
Most people think, the dispute is… Read More
2022-08-09 08:33
For conservatives to win, only a widespread energy scarcity can help. Energy scarcity leads to inability to run an urbanized globalized world. After energy is scarce each person needs to go… Read More
2022-08-09 08:29
Use the media to promote constant “progress”. By that I mean morality and justice must constantly evolve, because if it stands still the progressives lose out. Since technologica… Read More
2022-08-06 12:23
The Great Filter is that the rate of psychopathy in our species is slightly too higher than what is required for a free market for nuclear fission energy. And to get around this nuclear secr… Read More
2022-08-03 03:43
439 nuclear reactors exist on Earth which generate 2796 TWh. So that is an average 6.3690205011 TWh per nuclear reactorOil + Coal + Gas + Firewood generate 147872 TWhSo we need 147872 / 6.36… Read More
2022-07-22 05:54
I am who went through this story. This story is mine. There are others with their stories too. To be is to be the hero of a story. I will figure out the story by creating it Read More
2022-07-22 04:19
Chesterton’s Fence is the principle that reforms should not be made until the reasoning behind the existing state of affairs is understood.
It can be abused. Just leave a random fen… Read More
2022-07-22 04:08
They did something else worse in the past.They did something else in their previous lifetime or incarnation.Their ancestors did something wrong in the past.Their tribe did something wrong in… Read More
2022-07-21 07:31
Go check the balance sheets on the top 10 shale producers from 2010 to 2020. They ran up $600 billion in debt. Continental Petroleum is a perfect example.
Shale is not profitable in retur… Read More
2022-07-16 11:14
1 unit of nuclear material can only be used to enrich and transport 10 units of nuclear material. Even wind energy is better: 1 wind turbine can produce enough energy to manufacture, and tra… Read More
2022-07-07 02:07
Even now non-oil energy accounts for a tiny fraction of total energy supply. And non-oil energy (even nuclear) heavily depends on oil for mining, enrichment, transport.
https://ourworldin… Read More
2022-07-04 15:38
The modern Left (post-modernists), believe there is no absolute truth, only relative truth. Anything can be argued to be anything (even to oneself). Life becomes all about a contest of who i… Read More
2022-06-30 00:50
I ended up in a rich household having a cheese tasting party. I’m there as a guest but 2 people treat me as the serving staff. One was the servant but went on a leave of absence to mak… Read More
2022-06-28 02:49
Since the whole world is talking about privileges, there is what I think is called a cool-kid-privilege in any field. In any new field whether it be the Internet, or cryptocurrency, until co… Read More
2022-06-27 02:11
4 days after 9-11 the Spanish newspaper El Mundo printed this:
Las últimas informaciones procedentes de Estados Unidos señalan que los emisarios del magnate han logrado comp… Read More
2022-06-02 14:26
The movie Shooter is a good example of limited-hangout inversion-of-blame from the Department-of-Justice-FBI-Department-of-State axis of power of the USA to Department-of-Defense-Conservativ… Read More
2022-05-20 01:20
Source.
If computers were invented today you’d never be allowed to execute arbitrary code on your own processor, and if the Web were new you’d never be permitted to enter an a… Read More
2022-05-19 02:55
From Bill Watterson’s commencement speech at Kenyon College in 1990:
“Creating a life that reflects your values and satisfies your soul is a rare achievement. In a culture tha… Read More
2022-05-11 04:50
Peter Thiel loves to say how competition is bad for companies. He explains how Google was the first fully automated search engine, and Facebook was the first platform with real life identity… Read More
2022-05-09 09:10
Imagine if the situation was reversed.
This statement is a cope, Implying there is a higher judge who will exact justice. Often there is no such judge other than ourselves.
Make your e… Read More
2022-05-01 13:33
The BlueSky project from Twitter is not just a clone of ActivityPub/Fediverse. It is even more diabolical, and I know why Elon is taking Twitter private.
This is my guess of how Twitter&r&hell…Read More
2022-05-01 03:47
My thoughts on Gold, vs Bitcoin, vs Stocks based on this video and this video.
There are times when all the Gold has the same market cap as all stocks in the world (e.g. 1970s). But that… Read More
2022-04-27 08:29
Technical Interviews are like dating. It is unpredictable. There are people on both sides claiming to be flexible and give tips on what works, but both sides are in fact very opinionated. Th… Read More
2022-04-26 17:04
When valuing companies without long term debt, it might be useful to think of salaried employees as 0 par value perpetual bond holders who earn coupon.
A company that takes money from sto… Read More
2022-04-26 13:47
Imitation is the best proof of influence. If people jump off a bridge because you jumped off a bridge that shows you have influence. The more absurd the action being imitated the more influe… Read More
2022-04-26 13:25
Monetary inflation arising from the proliferation of deflationary layer-1 currencies must be studied.Altcoins co-exist and compete in the same geographical territory, so even during a deflat… Read More
2022-04-04 15:28
This is a book I read in 2014, and I wrote an Amazon review summarizing the book. I am copy-pasting it here, in case the Amazon review gets deleted. I still agree with this book.
Summ… Read More
2022-04-01 15:06
Ideal Money serves as
A. a medium of exchange,B. a unit of account, andC. a store of value.
In hard money like gold or bitcoin, C leads to irrational hoarding triggered by real or imag… Read More
2022-02-27 05:53
As discussed before, the self is a network which translates reality into stories in which it is the protagonist whose well being ought to be maximized.
However a reality it exists within… Read More
2022-02-23 06:43
According to Carroll Quigley democracy is possible in a place where there is a pre-existing balance of power between the State and the citizens. Quigley cites the balance of power between th… Read More
2022-02-19 11:46
Savings Bank Accounts can only insure up to say 50,000 USD of deposits and this is a constant source of pain for High Net Worth individuals and corporations. They cannot store their billions… Read More
2022-02-11 04:41
There are around 4 types of USD. And usually it is possible to convert between them. When the convertibility fails we get the Great Financial Crisis or the COVID-19 crash in March 2020.
T… Read More
2022-01-24 05:03
We are conditioned by the media to believe central banks can affect inflation, unemployment, and general economic well being.
However central banks have lost this power at least since the… Read More
2022-01-08 10:52
Never make plans about future involving other people’s decisions. If you do, factor in the possibility of failure and alternate plans.Wishing doesn’t make it soRespect and fear C… Read More
2021-12-11 16:35
The Aliens have a Sabbath. And they are already here hibernating/incubating inside a UFO that crashed before the 946 AD eruption of Paektu Mountain near the Russian/Chinese/Korean border. Th… Read More
2021-09-19 04:20
There are many groups fighting each other, and very few of them consider themselves loyal to the concept Afghanistan. e.g. There are the Warlords who are not same Taliban. Then there are tri… Read More
2021-09-14 07:07
Most of high school math is the intuition that:
addition/subtraction is about panning the number line or plane or space,multiplication/division is about zooming-in/zooming-out of the numb… Read More
2021-09-02 05:43
My friend told me:
Peter thiel’s argument is that we have a lot of innovation in bits but not in atoms. So stagnation in the broader economy instead of progress (as measured by medi… Read More
2021-08-11 04:46
This is the summary of this essay from Forbes.
Many “tech companies” evolve into tech-holding companies, and we’ve finance-of-startups replace startups as the dominant p… Read More
2021-07-26 04:23
Many people cannot keep a secret
It is true that large groups cannot keep a secret. This is why secrets in large organizations are a series of layered limited hangouts. People at each lay… Read More
2021-07-23 17:08
It began with animism. What sets apart higher animals is its ability to form stories. Stories contain agents with intentions and how those intentions evolve. What sets apart humans is our ab… Read More
2021-07-12 05:05
Since most people (including myself) are imitators of people we admire, any new change to the way everyone does things has to come top down. The first people who has to accept the change oug… Read More
2021-06-30 16:59
I should remind myself to never speak up in a group unless absolutely necessary. Always knew it was never welcome. But sometimes I forget it and test waters again.
Always speak up only to… Read More
2021-06-24 06:10
If you know Unix commands and can afford to rent your own servers, all of you should run their own:
email server ( https://mailinabox.email/ )matrix server ( https://github.com/spantaleev… Read More
2021-06-13 17:22
2021-06-02 12:40
Fiat money became so successful because it rewarded entrepreneurs with newly created money. Newly created money has yet to create inflation, so the holder of newly created money has an unfai… Read More
2021-05-30 15:57
Paradox
There is a reliable predictor, a player, and two boxes designated A and B. The player is given a choice between taking only box B, or taking both boxes A and B. The player knows t… Read More
2021-05-26 12:44
Imagine if everyone could mint their own private currency. e.g. you have U-dollars and I have I-dollars. Then thanks to the internet imagine if we could barter these private dollars. e.g. to… Read More
2021-05-25 09:44
Recently the media was reporting Michael Burry’s 13F filings. 13F could be misleading because according to the SEC:
SEC FAQ
This means if Michael Burry wrote an option it won&rsq&hell…Read More
2021-05-17 16:29
The need for small teams of supreme intellectuals (Feynman, von Neumann tier) is paramount if a difficult challenge is to be overcome. Institutions predicated on extensive collaboration betw… Read More
2021-05-12 13:10
The identity of the nation exists as a belief about our shared history.
Americans believe that they won their independence from the British through conflict but the truth is that a certai… Read More
2021-04-16 05:23
There are 3 schools of thought on how banks work:
Banks loan out deposits theory: Banks loan out deposits.Money multiplier fractional reserve banking theory: Initial money creation from s… Read More
2021-04-11 05:11
Psychics are a fraud. And scientific method is definitely better at inching closer to truth and reality. However anything can be subverted. Lookup Lysenkoism or Nazi Eugenics. Can you be sur… Read More
2021-03-27 02:38
Even with an imperfect implementation and without widespread adoption, good ideas often start showing its benefits very early. So people with good ideas can often enjoy its benefits privatel… Read More
2021-03-25 16:14
Steps to bootstrap a Self using artificial neural networks:
Train a neural network A to reproduce a movie screenplay by watching a movie video and audio as input.Train a neural network B… Read More
2021-02-10 06:35
Any group that is willing and able to kill people indiscriminately is a State. States are usually monopolistic and territorial. They collect rent from people living within its territory… Read More
2021-02-10 05:38
The real takes more effort than the unreal. How fast a group recedes into the unreal is a good measure of its future decline.
In Cargo Cults, the tribe makes artifacts that look like a pl… Read More
2021-02-03 05:29
Cults can predict and even control everything that happens to you and your world. Got sick? That is because you recently didn’t do what the cult asked you to do. Communism in Russia en… Read More
2021-02-01 14:14
Let O(X) be the odds that X happens.
O(Prediction|Clue) =
O(Prediction)*
(|Prediction=Present and Clue=Present|/|Prediction=Absent and Clue=Present)*
(|Clue=Absent|/|Clue=Pres… Read More
2021-01-08 14:57
License to kill people indiscriminately in large numbers if necessary is the source of all authority on this planet. This license is lucrative and the licensee tends to be territorially mono… Read More
2021-01-08 14:42
As an ex-Christian, I like thinking about Christianity as a product of design by the Roman empire which tried to unify the belief systems of allied and conquered regions in a way that pr… Read More
2021-01-03 06:04
Think of it as periodic refactoring of world views.
Changes in hardware and the growing complexity of software are forcing us to rethink the foundations of programming. Just like the buil… Read More
2020-12-11 04:43
There are three parties in censorship.
The party being censoredThe censorThe snitch. This is the person/group which generates the brouhaha and asks the censor to censor someone or somethi… Read More
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