All G10 Central banks have meetings in September and next week we will hear from the ECB, the RBA, the Riksbank and the BoC. Not so long ago, having four central bank meetings in one week would have been a treat for the FX vol markets. Nowadays, however, the FX short-term vol remains close to recent lows, likely reflecting the fact that the markets expect no policy surprises. Investors may be also keeping their powder dry for the central banks’ ‘Super Wednesday’ on 21 September, when the Fed and the BoJ hold their policy meetings.
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The G20 summit over the weekend could also reiterate the group’s commitment to improve policy coordination, and support flagging global investment and growth. That could boost market sentiment and brighten up the outlook for USD against safe haven currencies like JPY.