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Weekly Outlook: 2016, January 10 - January 17

Week Ahead: what we’re watching


  • USD: threats to the divergence trade? – Risk aversion can still challenge the Fed’s outlook. Solid US retail sales needed next week to limit any risk aversion-driven USD underperformance against JPY, EUR and CHF.
  • GBP: enough pounding? – Improving UK data and the largely unchanged BoE outlook could offset Brexit fears to a degree and support GBP.
  • AUD: remain cautious – AUD latest underperformance could continue next week in view of Australian and Chinese data releases.
  • NOK & SEK: ahead of CPI – CPI data out of Sweden and Norway may matter less in the face of low oil prices and Riksbank’s FX intervention threat.
  • XAU: Gold shines – Gold has been the best performing asset in our universe since the start of 2016 as risk aversion burnished its safe haven appeal.

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This post first appeared on Activity Stream - Newdigital World, please read the originial post: here

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Weekly Outlook: 2016, January 10 - January 17


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