2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Fantasy Sleeper Report

There’s horses for courses, and then there’s Max Homa on Poa Annua Greens.

The immensely-likable 32-year-old has now racked up six PGA TOUR wins following victory at last week’s Farmers Insurance Open, and four of them have come on Poa Annua greens. That’s something to keep in the forefront of your mind whenever the TOUR rolls around to the West Coast.

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It could have been so different, has Sunday’s sportsbook favorite Jon Rahm not made a litany of errors that brought an end to his extraordinary winning run. Sam Ryder, who looked to be waltzing away with the title at one point, will take some time to forget the double-bogey on 15 that saw his hopes go down the pan.

And then there’s Homa, who gained eight strokes on the field on Sunday – scarcely believable – in tricky conditions to claim another famous win in California.

Instead, the likes of U.S. Open champion Matt Fitzpatrick, the unpredictable Jordan Spieth and the classy Viktor Hovland will lead the way in the betting market, followed closely by the likes of defending champion Tom Hoge, Seamus Power and Kevin Kisner.

Hoge won in decent fashion last year, making a mockery of his 203-start wait for a PGA TOUR win by accelerating to the finishing line with four birdies in a bogey-free back nine at Pebble Beach on Sunday. More prolific sorts like Spieth and Patrick Cantlay could only watch on and admire Hoge’s fortitude.

For those not looped in, the AT&T Pebble Beach is a pro-am event played across three courses, and these are not ideal conditions for bettors – a tip of the hat to you if you predicted the wins of Nick Taylor, Ted Potter Jr and Vaughn Taylor here in recent times.

The pros are paired with a ‘celebrity partner’ – ranging from Hollywood A-listers to TikTok influencers, and together they take on Spyglass Hill, Monterey Peninsula and Pebble Beach itself. There’s little to write about the first two courses, they are simply feature-less and set up to give the amateurs in the field half a chance, whereas Pebble Beach is one of the most storied layouts on the PGA TOUR.

A former U.S. Open host, Pebble Beach features some of the most iconic backdrops and holes in all of golf, and while conditions are set up favorably due to the nature of this event, this is a venue that still provides fun golf to watch.

Bettors can also be buoyed by a rollcall of winners at long odds. Hoge (60/1), Nick Taylor (160/1) and Ted Potter (300/1) have all secured handsome paydays for their backers, and while Daniel Berger (14/1) and Phil Mickelson (25/1) have bucked that trend at times, the AT&T Pebble Beach is still an event to get excited about.

But who makes our shortlist of Pebble Beach 2023 sleepers?

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Want more of this week’s fantasy predictions? Check out our full fantasy preview for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am here.

Sleeper Report Predictions This Season (2022-2023)

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