It has been a while since my last post and I have seen a lot of discussion on the various news reports and news channels and the numbers that they present are not adding up. I noticed that a lot of news is saying that President Trump has done a terrible job of controlling the virus and the Mortality in the US. Again, the numbers that are being used do not add up.
First, let me present the most important numbers from several foreign countries. Most of the worst numbers are from the EU and from Central and South America. The most reliable figure is the number of deaths per million population. This is because countries may vary extensively in their total population. Using this number puts everything on a more level field.
Deaths per million
2 Belgium 852
3 UK 688
4 Andorra 686
5 Peru 651
6 Spain 611
7 Italy 583
8 Sweden 571
9 Chile 533
10 USA *** 511
11 Brazil 490
12 France 465
13 Mexico 418
15 Panama 394
17 Netherlands 359
As can be seen from these numbers, the US does not have the worst case of Wuhan Coronavirus or Covid-19 infections nor does it have the worst mortality rates in the world that certain news channels would have you believe. Believe me, from what I wrote on this topic last January and February, the US could have been far worse off than it is. In fact, it is the quick action taken by President Trump that stopped a massive surge in mortality that could have and would likely have taken place.
It should also be noted here that while the media has been using Sweden as a poster child for success in controlling Coronavirus, their mortality rate is definitely higher than the US and it is still climbing. So, whenever you hear that the US is doing badly, just look at the numbers from Sweden as well as countries that have higher mortality rates.
Another important point is that Brazil, Mexico, and India are rapidly catching up with the US.
Despite this Presidential action in the US, there were a number of states that had early widespread infections and mortalities. A review of the various states, their infection rates, and their mortality rates brings out some strange numbers that show some interesting trends.
USA average 511
New Jersey 1797
New York 1690
Massachusetts 1270
Connecticut 1248
Rhode Island 961
The first thing to note is that almost all of the worst mortality numbers are in the NorthEastern US and that these numbers are far above the us average mortality rate.
It might also be noted that New York City ranked far worse than many other areas with a mortality rate of around 20,000 per million population.
Bronx 23400
Queens 22300
Brooklyn 19500
New York City 19400
You should realize that 23400 per 1000000 population is a true 2.34 percent mortality, not a 0.1 percent that the news media has been hawking.
I will also note here that 7 states count for more than half of all US deaths and only 14 states have over the 511 per million population death rate.
Strangely, California with almost 600,000 cases so far only has 274 deaths per million population
California 274
Washington 227
Oregon 89
Nevada 323
Idaho 138
So, what, you might ask is the difference? Why are some states having such massive losses and others appearing faring well. I can point to a couple of factors but will say that these are not complete.
The first factor is population density which affects social isolation. In cities with mass public transportation the spread of virus is significantly increased due to closer contact with people in crowded rail cars and similar situations. Yes, wearing cloth face masks can help provide some protection but this is of limited effectiveness unless there is a face shield because some of the virus gets in through the eyes, rubber gloves to keep the virus off of the hands ( the gloves must be frequently replaced ), and the face mask should be a quality N95 mask that can actually filter a significant percentage of virus from the air that is breathed in and out.
The greater the distance that people are separated from each other is of critical importance. A distance of 6 feet is helpful but keeping 10 feet is far better.
The second factor that appears to be influencing the infection rate as well as mortality is sunlight exposure. In addition to distance, an advantage seen in several states with lower mortality rates is the amount of sunlight exposure.
Below are some graphs from worldometers.com for world wide new cases vs US new cases.
Also worldwide daily new deaths vs US daily new deaths showing how the curve has been flattened and mortality has been reduced in the US.
Thank you President Donald Trump!
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak Surpasses SARS
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak How far will it spread and how bad?
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak
First, let me present the most important numbers from several foreign countries. Most of the worst numbers are from the EU and from Central and South America. The most reliable figure is the number of deaths per million population. This is because countries may vary extensively in their total population. Using this number puts everything on a more level field.
Deaths per million
2 Belgium 852
3 UK 688
4 Andorra 686
5 Peru 651
6 Spain 611
7 Italy 583
8 Sweden 571
9 Chile 533
10 USA *** 511
11 Brazil 490
12 France 465
13 Mexico 418
15 Panama 394
17 Netherlands 359
As can be seen from these numbers, the US does not have the worst case of Wuhan Coronavirus or Covid-19 infections nor does it have the worst mortality rates in the world that certain news channels would have you believe. Believe me, from what I wrote on this topic last January and February, the US could have been far worse off than it is. In fact, it is the quick action taken by President Trump that stopped a massive surge in mortality that could have and would likely have taken place.
It should also be noted here that while the media has been using Sweden as a poster child for success in controlling Coronavirus, their mortality rate is definitely higher than the US and it is still climbing. So, whenever you hear that the US is doing badly, just look at the numbers from Sweden as well as countries that have higher mortality rates.
Another important point is that Brazil, Mexico, and India are rapidly catching up with the US.
Despite this Presidential action in the US, there were a number of states that had early widespread infections and mortalities. A review of the various states, their infection rates, and their mortality rates brings out some strange numbers that show some interesting trends.
USA average 511
New Jersey 1797
New York 1690
Massachusetts 1270
Connecticut 1248
Rhode Island 961
The first thing to note is that almost all of the worst mortality numbers are in the NorthEastern US and that these numbers are far above the us average mortality rate.
It might also be noted that New York City ranked far worse than many other areas with a mortality rate of around 20,000 per million population.
Bronx 23400
Queens 22300
Brooklyn 19500
New York City 19400
You should realize that 23400 per 1000000 population is a true 2.34 percent mortality, not a 0.1 percent that the news media has been hawking.
I will also note here that 7 states count for more than half of all US deaths and only 14 states have over the 511 per million population death rate.
Strangely, California with almost 600,000 cases so far only has 274 deaths per million population
California 274
Washington 227
Oregon 89
Nevada 323
Idaho 138
So, what, you might ask is the difference? Why are some states having such massive losses and others appearing faring well. I can point to a couple of factors but will say that these are not complete.
The first factor is population density which affects social isolation. In cities with mass public transportation the spread of virus is significantly increased due to closer contact with people in crowded rail cars and similar situations. Yes, wearing cloth face masks can help provide some protection but this is of limited effectiveness unless there is a face shield because some of the virus gets in through the eyes, rubber gloves to keep the virus off of the hands ( the gloves must be frequently replaced ), and the face mask should be a quality N95 mask that can actually filter a significant percentage of virus from the air that is breathed in and out.
The greater the distance that people are separated from each other is of critical importance. A distance of 6 feet is helpful but keeping 10 feet is far better.
The second factor that appears to be influencing the infection rate as well as mortality is sunlight exposure. In addition to distance, an advantage seen in several states with lower mortality rates is the amount of sunlight exposure.
Below are some graphs from worldometers.com for world wide new cases vs US new cases.
Worldwide New Cases
Also worldwide daily new deaths vs US daily new deaths showing how the curve has been flattened and mortality has been reduced in the US.
Thank you President Donald Trump!
More:
Wuhan Coronavirus Covid-19 No cure for it?
Survival and catastrophy - living through calamity and mass destruction
Wuhan Coronavirus / 2019-nCoV: Failure to contain
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak Beware the hidden mortality statisticsWuhan Coronavirus Outbreak Surpasses SARS
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak How far will it spread and how bad?
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak
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