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Analysis of the March 5-6 Primary and Caucus Results

The Democrats held four contests this Weekend and Bernie Sanders won three of them. However, because of her landslide win in Louisiana, Hillary Clinton got almost as many delegates as he did. Sanders continued his trend of winning in mostly white states (this time, Kansas, Maine, and Nebraska) while getting blown out in diversely populated states with large numbers of African-American voters (Louisiana).

If Sanders doesn’t soon reverse this trend, Clinton is going to build an insurmountable delegate lead over him in the race of Democratic presidential nomination. It is critical that he perform well in Michigan tomorrow. It will be the first contest in a racially diverse state that is not in the South. Fortunately for Sanders, the Primary in Mississippi tomorrow is the last in the states that made up the former Confederacy, where he has been routed every time.

On the Republican side, three candidates split five contests this weekend, with Ted Cruz winning caucuses in Maine and Kansas, Donald Trump winning a caucus in Kentucky and a primary in Louisiana, and Marco Rubio dominating a primary in Puerto Rico. However, Cruz came out the overall winner in delegates, cutting into Trump’s lead. Cruz won his contests by double digit margins, while Trump just edged Cruz out in the two contests he won. Trump once had a 20-point lead in Louisiana, but barely hung on to win, as late deciders trended for Cruz.

Despite Rubio’s blowout win in Puerto Rico that notched him all 23 of that territory’s convention delegates, he came in third in the delegate take this weekend. His missed the statewide delegate thresholds in Louisiana and Maine, finishing third and fourth, respectively, in those states. He also finished fourth in Kansas and Kentucky. Rubio has sunk to a distant third in the delegate totals. Trump is now calling for him to dropout. However, he’s going to stick around to see how he does next week in his home state of Florida, which is obviously a must-win for him.

John Kasich finished in last place in every contest this weekend except for the caucus in Maine, where he finished third. However, he didn’t put much effort into this weekend’s contests, having already set his sights in Michigan, where he really needs to do well ahead of next week’s primary in his home state of Ohio. Kasich is already teetering on irrelevance. A poor performance in Michigan might convince Ohio voters that he is no longer a serious candidate for president.



This post first appeared on CommenTerry, please read the originial post: here

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Analysis of the March 5-6 Primary and Caucus Results

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