Seven days from now, we’ll know who and what the Academy Award nominees are. My final set of predictions will drop on Monday, but for now, I wanted to tinker just a little bit first. For what it’s worth, over the coming weekend, the Producers Guild of America and the Screen Actors Guild will be giving out their awards, so while that can’t impact nominations, it’s still noteworthy. They’re arguably the two biggest precursors, and gems of the guild season, so there’s a chance that I might tinker with final predictions next week if something crazy goes on there. That’s a problem for future me though.

As you’ll see below, not a whole lot has changed. Ballots are in though, so what’s done is done. I’m working my few Oscar voter sources to see if anything has gotten more love than expected. If you saw yesterday’s article, things are poised to end up with The Shape of Water leading the nominations. That’s pretty much a foregone conclusion. After that, the best days will probably be had by either Dunkirk or Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri. In a few days I’ll be looking at potential shut outs, so watch out for that, but you can see next which films are locked out from the big show. Anyway, on to the main event…

Here now is my second to last predictions update:

BEST PICTURE

1. Lady Bird
2. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
3. Get Out
4. The Shape of Water
5. The Post
6. Dunkirk
7. Call Me By Your Name
8. The Big Sick
9. I, Tonya
10. The Florida Project

Next in line: 11. Mudbound 12. Molly’s Game 13. Darkest Hour 14. Wonder Woman 15. Phantom Thread 16. Baby Driver 17. Blade Runner 2049 18. All the Money in the World 19. Hostiles 20. Logan 21. The Disaster Artist 22. Detroit 23. Battle of the Sexes 24. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 25. Last Flag Flying 26. Downsizing 27. mother! 28. Stronger 29. Wonderstruck 30. Coco

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Guillermo del Toro – The Shape of Water
2. Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk
3. Martin McDonagh – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
4. Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird
5. Jordan Peele – Get Out

Next in line: 6. Steven Spielberg – The Post 7. Luca Guadagnino – Call Me By Your Name 8. Sean Baker – The Florida Project 9. Denis Villeneuve – Blade Runner 2049 10. Craig Gillespie – I, Tonya 11. Dee Rees – Mudbound 12. Paul Thomas Anderson – Phantom Thread 13. Joe Wright – Darkest Hour 14. Ridley Scott – All the Money in the World 15. Patty Jenkins – Wonder Woman

BEST ACTOR

1. Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour
2. Timothée Chalamet – Call Me By Your Name
3. Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread
4. James Franco – The Disaster Artist
5. Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out

Next in line: 6. Tom Hanks – The Post 7. Denzel Washington – Roman J. Israel Esq 8. Jake Gyllenhaal – Stronger 9. Christian Bale – Hostiles 10. Hugh Jackman – The Greatest Showman (or Logan) 11. Steve Carell – Last Flag Flying 12. Andrew Garfield – Breathe 10. 13. Robert Pattinson – Good Time 14. Mark Hamill – Star Wars: The Last Jedi 15. Sam Elliott – The Hero

BEST ACTRESS

1. Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
2. Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird
3. Margot Robbie – I, Tonya
4. Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water
5. Meryl Streep – The Post

Next in line: 6. Jessica Chastain – Molly’s Game 7. Judi Dench – Victoria and Abdul 8. Michelle Williams – All the Money in the World 9. Vicky Krieps – Phantom Thread 10. Emma Stone – Battle of the Sexes 11. Annette Bening – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool 12. Kate Winslet – Wonder Wheel 13. Diane Kruger – In the Fade 14. Jennifer Lawrence – mother! 15. Gal Gadot – Wonder Woman

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
2. Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project
3. Christopher Plummer – All the Money in the World
4. Richard Jenkins – The Shape of Water
5. Woody Harrelson – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Next in line: 6. Armie Hammer – Call Me By Your Name 7. Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes 8. Mark Rylance – Dunkirk 9. Michael Stulhbarg – Call Me By Your Name 10. Michael Shannon – The Shape of Water 11. Jason Mitchell – Mudbound 12. Ben Mendelsohn – Darkest Hour 13. Garret Hedlund – Mudbound 14. Will Poulter – Detroit 15. Patrick Stewart – Logan

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Allison Janney – I, Tonya
2. Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird
3. Mary J. Blige – Mudbound
4. Holly Hunter – The Big Sick
5. Hong Chau – Downsizing

Next in line: 6. Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water 7. Leslie Manville – Phantom Thread 8. Melissa Leo – Novitiate 9. Tiffany Haddish – Girls Trip 10. Tatiana Maslany – Stronger 11. Kristen Scott Thomas – Darkest Hour 12. Lois Smith – Marjorie Prime 13. Rosamund Pike – Hostiles 14. Claire Foy – Breathe 15. Carrie Fisher – Star Wars: The Last Jedi

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Lady Bird
2. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
3. Get Out
4. The Big Sick
5. I, Tonya

Next in line: 6. The Shape of Water 7. Phantom Thread 8. The Post 9. Dunkirk 10. The Florida Project 11. Darkest Hour 12. Baby Driver 13. Battle of the Sexes 14. Detroit 15. Coco

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Call Me By Your Name
2. Mudbound
3. Molly’s Game
4. The Disaster Artist
5. Logan

Next in line: 6. Wonder 7. Victoria and Abdul 8. All the Money in the World 9. Blade Runner 2049 10. Last Flag Flying 11. Wonderstruck 12. Stronger 13. The Beguiled 14. Hostiles 15. Star Wars: The Last Jedi

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Coco
2. The Breadwinner
3. Loving Vincent
4. Ferdinand
5. The LEGO Batman Movie

Next in line: 6. The Boss Baby 7. The Girl Without Hands 8. The Star 9. Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie 10. Cars 3 11. The LEGO Ninjago Movie 12. Despicable Me 3 13. In This Corner of the World 14. A Silent Voice 15. My Entire High School Sinking Into the Sea

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Blade Runner 2049
2. The Shape of Water
3. Dunkirk
4. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
5. Beauty and the Beast

Next in line: 6. Phantom Thread 7. Darkest Hour 8. The Post 9. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 10. Get Out 11. Wonder Woman 12. Logan 13. Downsizing 14. Lady Bird 15. Murder on the Orient Express

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Blade Runner 2049
2. Dunkirk
3. The Shape of Water
4. Mudbound
5. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Next in line: 6. Darkest Hour 7. The Post 8. Call Me By Your Name 9. Hostiles 10. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 11. Wonderstruck 12. Lady Bird 13. The Florida Project 14. Wonder Wheel 15. mother!

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

1. Phantom Thread
2. Beauty and the Beast
3. The Shape of Water
4. Victoria and Abdul
5. Murder on the Orient Express

Next in line: 6. The Post 7. Dunkirk 8. I, Tonya 8. The Greatest Showman 10. Darkest Hour 11. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 12. Wonder Woman 13. Thor: Ragnarok 14. The Beguiled 15. Blade Runner 2049

BEST FILM EDITING

1. Dunkirk
2. The Shape of Water
3. Lady Bird
4. I, Tonya
5. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Next in line: 6. Baby Driver 7. Get Out 8. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 9. The Post 10. Blade Runner 2049 11. Molly’s Game 12. Darkest Hour 13. Phantom Thread 14. The Disaster Artist 15. mother!

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Darkest Hour
2. I, Tonya
3. Bright

Next in line: 4. Wonder 5. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 6. Victoria and Abdul 7. Ghost in the Shell 8. N/A 9. N/A 10. N/A 11. N/A 12. N/A 13. N/A 14. N/A 15. N/A

BEST SOUND MIXING

1. Dunkirk
2. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
3. Blade Runner 2049
4. The Shape of Water
5. Baby Driver

Next in line: 6. Wonder Woman 7. Spider-Man: Homecoming 8. Detroit 9. War for the Planet of the Apes 10. The Greatest Showman 11. Thor: Ragnorak 12. Transformers: The Last Knight 13. mother! 14. Kong: Skull Island 15. Alien: Covenant

BEST SOUND EDITING

1. Dunkirk
2. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
3. Blade Runner 2049
4. The Shape of Water
5. Wonder Woman

Next in line: 6. Baby Driver 7. The Greatest Showman 8. Detroit 9. War for the Planet of the Apes 10. Spider-Man: Homecoming 11. Thor: Ragnorak 12. Transformers: The Last Knight 13. mother! 14. Kong: Skull Island 15. Alien: Covenant

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Blade Runner 2049
2. War for the Planet of the Apes
3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi
4. Dunkirk
5. The Shape of Water

Next in line: 6. Okja 7. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 8. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets 9. Kong: Skull Island 10. Alien: Covenant 11. N/A 12. N/A 13. N/A 14. N/A 15. N/A

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1. The Shape of Water
2. Dunkirk
3. Phantom Thread
4. Three Billboards of Ebbing, Missouri
5. The Post

Next in line: 6. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 7. Darkest Hour 8. Victoria and Abdul 9. Blade Runner 2049 10. Battle of the Sexes 11. Coco 12. Wonderstruck 13. All the Money in the World 14. Wind River 15. Logan

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1. Coco (Remember Me)
2. The Greatest Showman (This Is Me)
3. Call Me By Your Name (Mystery of Love)
4. Beauty and the Beast (Evermore)
5. Detroit (It Ain’t Fair)

Next in line: 6. Call Me By Your Name (Visions of Gideon) 7. Marshall (Stand Up For Something) 8. Mudbound (Mighty River) 9. Fifty Shades Darker (I Don’t Wanna Live Forever) 10. Ferdinand (Home) 11. An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power (Truth to Power) 12. Chasing Coral (Tell Me How Long) 12. The Star (The Star) 13. The Hero (The Hero) 14. The LEGO Batman Movie (Friends Are Family) 15. Battle of the Sexes (If I Dare)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Jane
2. Faces Places
3. City of Ghosts
4. Icarus
5. Ex Libris – The New York Public Library

6. Chasing Coral 7. Strong Island 8. Human Flow 9. Abacus: Small Enough to Jail 10. Last Men in Aleppo 11. An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power 12. Long Strange Trip 13. LA 92 14. Unrest 15. One of Us

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

1. In the Fade
2. Foxtrot
3. A Fantastic Woman
4. The Square
5. Loveless

6. On Body and Soul 7. The Insult 8. Félicité 9. The Wound 10. N/A 11. N/A 12. N/A 13. N/A 14. N/A 15. N/A

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

1. Lou
2. Fox and the Whale
3. Dear Basketball
4. Garden Party
5. Negative Space

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1. 10 Meter Tower
2. Ram Dass, Going Home
3. Heroin(e)
4. 116 Cameras
5. Alone

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

1. Lost Face
2. DeKalb Elementary
3. Facing Mecca
4. The Eleven O’Clock
5. My Nephew Emmett

Stay tuned for final predictions next week!