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Australian land sales signal “rocky recovery” for new homes

 

New home building in Australia have a "rocky recovery" ahead, according to the latest figures.

The HIA-RP Data Residential Land Report provided by the Housing Industry Association highlights a significant decline in residential Land Sales in the September 2012 quarter, suggesting a long road ahead before construction returns to healthy levels.

"Residential land sales fell by 17.8 per Cent in the September 2012 quarter, although the volume was still 14.9 per cent higher than the record low set a year earlier," said HIA Chief Economist, Harley Dale.

"It is encouraging that land sales in a majority of markets have lifted off the depths plunged in 2011. However, this latest update highlights the uncertainty around whether the new home building sector can mount a recovery that is both sustainable and of the magnitude Australia's population and economy require," Harley Dale said.

"Overall, residential land sales, a key leading indicator of housing starts, signal a rocky road for any new home building recovery in 2013."

"One catalyst for the emergence of a strong new home building recovery would be the reduction in the cost of new housing, including serviceable land, which is brought about by disproportionately high and inefficient levels of taxation," added Dale. "This requires bold and decisive policy reform across all levels of government, action which consistently fails to occur to the detriment of a more productive and efficient economy."

According to RP Data's research director Tim Lawless, the September results highlight the recovery in the Vacant Land Market remains a fragile one. "After consistent increases in the number of vacant land sales over the past three quarters, the lower September result is a stark reminder that consumers remain very price sensitive and cautious about their household finances."

"Land developers and builders are facing the challenge of providing affordable house and land packages at a time when land costs, as well as construction costs, continue to rise. The median price of a vacant block of land rose 3.8% over the September Quarter last year despite the fall away in volume."

"The broader housing market remains on a recovery trajectory, and I would be surprised if the vacant land market continued the slippage in transaction numbers we saw in September. Low interest rates and a subtle improvement in consumer confidence, together with Government incentives now more focussed on new housing, are likely to be the driver behind a gradually improving market."

In the September 2012 quarter the weighted median residential land value in Australia increased by 3.8 per cent to $197,807. This value was 4.2 per cent higher when compared to the same period in 2011. The median value for capital cities increased by 5.1 per cent in the September 2012 quarter to $225,795, 6.0 per cent higher than in the September 2011 quarter. The median value for Regional Australia was $155,214 in the September 2012 quarter. This represents a quarterly rise of 0.8 per cent and a 0.2 per cent increase compared with the same period in 2011.

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This post first appeared on Property For Sale In Australia - Australian Real Estate Listings, please read the originial post: here

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Australian land sales signal “rocky recovery” for new homes

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