2024-04-12 07:24
Only two
weeks since my last AI post, but a lot has happened – and it isn’t good.
I don’t deal
on speculation and rumors any more than future-only “progress,”… Read More
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february thacircnbsp
2024-04-05 13:52
The Bureau of
Labor Statistics Employment Situation Summary came out of embargo 17 minutes
before I wrote this sentence. From a
national economic perspective It was everything we could… Read More
2024-03-29 07:18
As market
capitalization surges and the press tells us about more and more noncurrent things,
what is happening with AI now? Mostly
it is causing trouble.
In “The AI
Cultu… Read More
2024-03-22 07:22
The article
flow on automobiles is getting less concentrated. Instead of the late-2010’s emphasis on
driverless vehicles and the early 2020’s on electric ones, we’re… Read More
2024-03-16 14:33
I clicked on the Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment
Situation Summary with February’s data, knowing only that it showed another
flashy nonfarm payroll employment result, 275,000 net… Read More
2024-03-01 08:11
A good chunk of 2024 is in the books. So how did the largest technical story
evolve?
Toward the dark side, according to “Scientists Train AI to
Be Evil, Find They Can’t Re… Read More
2024-02-23 08:12
As a nation, how are we doing with jobs and money? What I would call objective results say they
are going well, but is there more than that?
Starting with “This Economy Has Bigg… Read More
2024-02-16 08:16
In the past two-plus months, what’s been happening with observations
on this shifting if not really evolving issue?
In Business Insider on December 9th,
Diamond Naga Stu and Tim Parad… Read More
2024-02-09 08:17
The past few months have been shaky for electric cars, not
so much because they aren’t selling – they are, much more than a couple of
years ago – but because things keep ap… Read More
2024-02-02 15:20
Some will say today’s Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment
Situation Summary was first-class, and according to the most publicized number,
total net nonfarm payroll employment jumped… Read More
2024-01-19 08:29
Last week I went through positive things for this technology
coming out since December. Here are the others.
The first was “The Times Sues OpenAI and Microsoft over A.I.
Use of… Read More
2024-01-12 08:35
Since June I have been expressing generally contrarian views
on AI, that it will not fulfill the concerns and expectations it has gathered
since its February news explosion. As
always… Read More
2024-01-05 15:58
The new Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation
Summary started out, again, by exceeding expectations. The number of net new nonfarm payroll
positions, formally estimated at 16… Read More
2023-12-29 08:23
It’s an ancient problem.
Some workers look busy, but don’t accomplish much. Some are low-profile, efficient, and quietly,
often with lower hours or even apparent effo… Read More
2023-12-22 08:04
While there have been various areas of AI progress over the
past few months – incremental and automobile-related, anyway – more things have
popped up since late November.
In &ld&hell…Read More
2023-12-15 08:19
How did this year turn out with economic and employment
Issues? What is likely in the next?
I can only go so far with the latter, as a lot can happen,
especially in a year with an unu… Read More
2023-12-08 15:21
Last month’s Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation
Summary was the worst all year. But any
thoughts that it would start a trend were dashed this morning.
In November… Read More
2023-12-01 08:26
Since the five-day, 40-hour week was solidified in the
1930s, people have talked about full-timers reporting for less. It seemed like the logical next step, but 90
years on we have see… Read More
2023-11-22 08:21
Even with vastly reduced expectations, autonomous vehicles
are falling short.
In the August 9thNew York Times, Yiwen Lu
told us “San Francisco Balks at Expanding Driverless Car Servic… Read More
2023-11-17 08:38
There are good and bad things about looking for work in 2023. It may be that unemployment has been below 4%
for a year or so, and there are almost a record number of job openings, but… Read More
2023-11-10 08:34
The past couple of years have been huge for electric cars,
trucks, buses, and other transportation devices. Per David Wallace-Wells in “Electric Vehicles
Keep Defying Almost Ever… Read More
2023-11-03 14:20
For months on end, when I pulled the Bureau of Labor
Statistics Employment Situation Summary, I have seen strongly positive results,
exceeding industry expectations and displaying the United… Read More
2023-10-27 07:18
For something that was supposed to be taking over the world,
AI is tottering. I can’t speak for the
status of the technology itself, but that’s not the issue. How it… Read More
2023-10-20 07:33
The issue of employees doing their tasks from the office or
elsewhere keeps rolling on. I won’t say
it’s evolving, as I have maintained that its favor has been a pendulum… Read More
2023-10-13 13:50
During the previous twelve months, there have been a fair
number of events and observations pertinent to organized labor, some of which
have set the stage for the 2023 strikes.
What we… Read More
2023-10-06 13:36
Another month, another jobs report, another big winner. Why do I say that?
First, we blew away the published forecast of 170,000 net
new nonfarm payroll positions with 336,000 –… Read More
2023-09-22 07:24
... see you on October 6th with the jobs report and the AJSN! Read More
2023-09-15 07:22
What has been written about AI since late July?
First, we had “4 careers where workers will have to change
jobs by 2030 due to AI and shifts in how we shop, according to a McKinsey
st… Read More
2023-09-08 07:25
Although I think the working-from-home cons have more merit
than the pros, there have been a significant number of articles favoring the
latter. What do they have to say?
Hiding his o… Read More
2023-09-01 14:12
In this morning’s Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment
Situation Summary, we were supposed to be keying on the number of net new
nonfarm payroll positions, often just referred to as … Read More
2023-08-25 09:35
Five weeks ago, I published a post about an artificial
intelligence backlash, or reactions against it from various directions. Since then, when we factor out the news
stories speculati… Read More
2023-08-18 07:42
A lot has piled up here about working without conventional
jobs. Let’s see what it is.
Oldest is “Biden Proposal Could Lead to Employee Status for
Gig Workers” (Noam… Read More
2023-08-11 07:38
Something not getting much attention, except recently with
artificial intelligence making inroads and causing controversy, is how
employers hire. These articles are
spread over ten mon… Read More
2023-08-04 14:05
The new Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation
Summary was not expected to show any sudden changes, and it didn’t.
I saw estimates of 180,000 and 200,000 net new nonfar… Read More
2023-07-21 07:16
When the AI story broke in the spring, most articles
expressed amazement, and tried to cover the matter without hype. Soon thereafter, the possibility of a major
AI-caused disaster too… Read More
2023-07-14 08:06
Workers have not only different choices to improve their
positions, but more than before. Beyond
the permanent possibility of just changing jobs, there are others with various
merits a… Read More
2023-07-07 14:08
This morning’s Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation
Summary was supposed to be especially important, especially for investments and
interest rates. So what happened?… Read More
2023-06-30 07:22
Now that the pandemic has eased into an endemic, if that,
the medical need for people to work from home has disappeared. Yet one thing it told us is that many
employees would like to d… Read More
2023-06-23 07:37
Continuing on…
In some technical boom times, the companies profiting most
have been those providing supporting services.
In The Economist’s The Bottom Line newsletter on… Read More
2023-06-16 07:18
What’s been happening with AI? This time nothing new technically, but a host
of preparations for then.
While not really “The rise of the chatbots” (Rachel Metz, Bloo… Read More
2023-06-09 07:30
Although the next round of AI’s technological progress will
be in the background for a while, there’s no getting away from this topic. It’s cheek-to-jowl with jobs an… Read More
2023-06-02 15:14
The headline piece of this morning's Bureau of Labor
Statistics Employment Situation Summary was how the number of nonfarm payroll jobs
destroyed the estimates. I saw three of
those, r… Read More
2023-05-26 07:27
Of its meanings, different ones for “hustling” have been
most prominent at different times. First
it denoted moving quickly and effectively.
In the 1970s, it meant mo… Read More
2023-05-18 22:45
As staggering as the beginning of artificial intelligence’s
ascent has been, it is not the only area where technology or public policy
could greatly transform our country.
Here i… Read More
2023-05-12 07:22
As rushed as it may seem, the coming of ChatGP4, and the
idea of how many things AI can now do and disrupt, are now over, and it is time
for us to mop up and figure out where we are and wher… Read More
2023-05-05 14:15
One more critical Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment
Situation Summary. One more set of data
exceeding expectations and refusing to indicate any movement toward
recession. One… Read More
2023-04-28 07:20
“The elephant in the room:
a major problem or controversial issue that is obviously present but
avoided as a subject for discussion because it is more comfortable to do so.&rdquo&hell…Read More
2023-04-21 07:21
Back to the views…
Although we don’t know how strong and long-lasting the
current trend toward remote work will be, it must be factored into corporate
real estate matters, and… Read More
2023-04-14 07:50
I was surprised to see how long it has been since I had a
post about developments in working in offices, working from home or otherwise
remotely, and the combination now referred to as &ldqu&hell…Read More
2023-04-07 14:34
I can imagine the comments about this morning’s Bureau of
Labor Statistics Employment Situation Summary.
Only 236,000 new jobs – indifferent.
Employment down 0.1% to… Read More
2023-04-01 17:44
Here is the final installment in this series – at least for
now.
I start with three pieces from earlier this month giving the
state of ChatGPT and chatbots in particular, which… Read More
2023-03-17 07:13
There is still no topic related to jobs and the economy hotter than this one – bank failures expectedly bailed out do not qualify – and there is no shortage of articles to review… Read More
2023-03-10 14:55
This morning’s Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation Summary was supposed to be a critical one, for the wrong reasons. Observers were hoping for decreasing employment a… Read More
2023-03-03 08:21
The series continues – and, with news about AI developments pouring out, it won’t end here. This month’s graphically scary article is “The real-life version of &lsquo&hell…Read More
2023-02-24 08:47
This issue, the second of three straight weeks of this series (the jobs report, which drives the monthly AJSN, will be released a week later than usual), is about AI-related articles from Ja… Read More
2023-02-17 08:18
We’ve been sort of stunned by ChatGPT’s recent exploits, which not only suddenly forced people to adjust their methods but solidly moved AI from the future to the present. … Read More
2023-02-10 08:08
My previous posts about AI have emphasized actual accomplishments, but mostly these were small-scale, laboratory-bound, or needed more time and iterations to become significant. … Read More
2023-02-03 15:17
January usually has the steepest drop in American employment. Millions of people end their holiday-related jobs, and not all find new ones. The gap between adjusted and unadjuste… Read More
2023-01-20 08:35
Another old thing with a still-new name, and perhaps new significance, is “quiet quitting.” Though as with most new terms not everyone agrees with its precise meaning, it s… Read More
2023-01-13 08:19
With Covid-19 and the subsequent worker’s market, the set of reasonable worker actions has expanded in many ways. This is the first of two posts showing how observers have identi… Read More
2023-01-06 14:56
Once again, the Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation Summary delivered. We exceeded the matching 200,000 published predictions of net new nonfarm positions by 23,000. Season… Read More
2022-12-30 08:22
I’ve published a fair amount of material on driverless cars, but haven’t had much to say about other forms of conveyance, which could also have real effects on jobs and the econo… Read More
2022-12-23 08:20
How are we groping along with what we expected, five years ago, to now be widespread? The partially autonomous version, per “11 more crash deaths are linked to automated-tech vehicles… Read More
2022-12-16 08:34
This week, I bring my focus to the “jobs” part of “jobs and the economy.” What’s been happening? We start with a “new” idea in the works so lo… Read More
2022-12-09 08:14
When historians look back on 2022, they will see, along with the midterm elections, the recession that wasn’t, the shifting of Covid-19 from a pandemic to another bug, and Aaron Judge… Read More
2022-12-02 16:09
As with a month before, published predictions were for 200,000 net new nonfarm positions. As was within 2,000 of a month before, it turned out to be 263,000. As with almost every… Read More
2022-11-25 08:33
Another characteristic of today’s labor situation - unwillingness to put up with what workers consider unacceptably bad times on the job – keeps unfolding. To start, “Chipo… Read More
2022-11-18 08:08
On we move from last week’s look at larger propositions relating to jobs and the economy. Here are five more recently published ones. Peter Coy, in the September 5thNew York Time… Read More
2022-11-11 08:07
Since spring, I have been getting employment and economy-related articles that aren’t about specific events as much as conceptual areas which the authors think should change. Wha… Read More
2022-11-04 15:01
This morning’s Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation Summary was not supposed to be especially critical or revealing – did it turn out that way? We gained 261,000 net n… Read More
2022-10-28 08:05
The series from last month continues, with plenty more reports and views from the past month. Oldest is Trey Williams’s September 28thYahoo Finance “Employees worry they’ll… Read More
2022-10-21 07:08
Over the past several months, articles chronicling the state of AI had something in common. What is it? The first, by Nico Grant and Cade Metz in the June 12thNew York Times, “Go… Read More
2022-10-14 07:24
It’s been five years since the world was expecting an end, or nearly so, to people driving “meatmobiles,” a briefly-used name for human-controlled vehicles. Since the… Read More
2022-10-07 14:23
Per this morning’s Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation Summary, the good work times are still rolling. We gained 263,000 net new nonfarm positions, close to the two p… Read More
2022-09-30 08:30
On to this month, and reaching out in scope a bit: “Working from home around the world,” by Cevat Giray Aksoy et al. in Brookings on September 7th, offered that “no other e… Read More
2022-09-23 07:08
What I get for not writing posts on this timely topic for eight weeks is enough material for two – and some intriguing and worthy ideas have come up. So here are ones from August… Read More
2022-09-16 07:29
I haven’t checked in on this section of work for a while, where news has been slow, but there has been some. The last time we looked, ridesharers Uber and Lyft, along with lodgin… Read More
2022-09-09 07:06
For something progressing since Willy Loman’s 1940s admonition to his son that he shouldn’t do anything menial when in one, since “they have office boys,” improvement… Read More
2022-09-02 14:29
This morning’s Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation Summary looked fine at the top, with its 315,000 net new nonfarm positions vindicating the published 300,000 estimate, an… Read More
2022-08-26 07:16
In the six weeks since I posted on labor unions’ resurgence, there has been a flurry of news. This headline firm, as reported by Ken Martin in Fox Business on August 12th, has a proble… Read More
2022-08-19 07:04
Yes, there is more on this topic, some basic until you look underneath it. When we read that “U.S. employers posted 10.7 million job openings in June, reflecting continued strength in… Read More
2022-08-12 07:21
There is a real problem understanding our economy out there, even among people whose knowledge is supposed to be nuanced. Here are titles of articles published on August 5th, after tha… Read More
2022-08-05 13:45
What a jobs report! This morning’s Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation Summary, anticipated as “key” and “critical,” could have disappointed nobody… Read More
2022-07-29 07:39
Maybe because the issue is so unsettled, and ultimately involves tens of billions of dollars a year, we’re seeing more and more about whether cubicle sorts of workers need to be in the… Read More
2022-07-22 07:17
Aside from interest rates, inflation rates, and the chance of a rather peculiar recession, what’s been happening with the American economy? I’ve written several times over the ye… Read More
2022-07-15 07:17
Since the time when labor unions were needed for the likes of getting workers’ widows paid for the days when they died on the job, they have taken a long fall in value, constructivenes… Read More
2022-07-08 13:55
You can hardly scan a newspaper business section without seeing references to a recession – probable, almost certain, here already. I know that we can declare one when the Gross… Read More
2022-07-01 07:44
This very ongoing issue is nothing new – employees and companies waged battles on telecommuting when George H.W. Bush was president, with little resolution or even lessons learned or r… Read More
2022-06-17 07:40
These areas are all over the business news, and beyond. Let’s clear the air. First, inflation is high, but not atrocious, by historical standards. The latest three months&r&hell…Read More
2022-06-10 07:19
Inflation and the pandemic have been the two largest American 2020s news stories, but not all. Before they, and the Ukraine war, took over the headlines, another combined area gathered… Read More
2022-06-03 14:06
This morning’s Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation Summary turned out close to what people expected – almost. We gained 390,000 net new nonfarm positions, reaso… Read More
2022-05-27 07:24
Unjustified fears are hardly restricted to the far left or far right these days. Consider our economic situation, which looms highest on American’s current concerns. First, the o… Read More
2022-05-20 07:26
Over a trillion dollars of the American gross domestic product goes to moving us around. Being able to go almost anywhere safely is one of the great things about the modern age, and, o… Read More
2022-05-13 07:32
The largest jobs-and-the-economy news story of 2022 is clearly here. There has been almost too much coverage and commentary, even when it’s not politically distorted. So le… Read More
2022-05-06 13:39
After some wild Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation Summary editions, it’s good in a way to see one that matched predictions and was consistent with common sense. The… Read More
2022-04-29 07:14
Big topics, little communication. My cupboard is not quite bare, but has some odds and ends, which are worthwhile, even if they add up to one post instead of the three these matters se… Read More
2022-04-22 07:09
What’s happening with our financial system? We’ve heard a lot about inflation, but there’s more on other aspects as well. All from the last month – let&rs&hell…Read More
2022-04-08 07:09
One of the great employment-related 2020s issues is whether to work, or allow work, from an office. As I have written, that’s really a 30-year-old problem, pushed to the forefron… Read More
2022-04-01 14:45
Four weeks ago, I predicted this morning’s Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation Summary would again be especially strong. Was it? We added 431,000 net new nonfarm payr… Read More
2022-03-25 07:21
While the pandemic has influenced almost everything businesses have been doing in the past year, it has not been the only source of change. Stories about how companies have been operat… Read More
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