Some people, probably what they refer to as Internet Trolls, have complained about what I have been writing. What I post is based on legitimate data. If I post something projected, I present the calculations and reasons behind it as I will also do below. It is not crap as some call it.
I give an example, On 26 Jan when there was 2000 cases and 50 mortalities, I posted that On 1 Feb, there would be roughly 16000 cases and 200 deaths. While it did not pass 16000 cases until the 2nd of Feb, ( 1 day late ) the number of deaths was passed the day before ( 1 day early ). The official sources were not predicting anything near that in their candy coated projections. So you might consider that what I have been predicting has been closer to the actual situation than the so called 'professionals'. Just trying to give you a heads up. You can not prove predictions right or wrong until the happen or do not happen. Not all my predictions have been this right but they have been much closer to reality that the so called 'professionals'.
Again, On 29 Jan 2020, I posted that the Mortality rates that they use is exceedingly misleading and I still support that claim. The problem that I pointed out is that the basis that they use to calculate mortality is the number currently dead divided by the total number of reported cases. This is a seriously misleading calculation because once diagnosed it can take up to 20 days before a patient passes away or to be cleared as recovered ( some cases have taken 28 days ).
For this reason, the real mortality should be based on the number of mortalities divided by the number of cases that have reached a final determination. Since there are actually only 2 final determinations, one is fatal and the other is recovered, the total of cases with final determination should be the mortalities plus the recovered. The WHO has not been reporting this, the Chinese have not been reporting this, and the main stream media have not been reporting this. They are all reporting 2 percent mortality where the current mortalities ( approx. 2120 ) and recovered is only about 16450 cases, which calculates to roughly 11 percent mortality, exceeding the number of SARS deaths by 10 times. I would expect this number to drop some to possibly 8 or 9 percent it is certainly not 2 percent that they are trying to pass on to you. If you are a mathematician or a statistician, you know that I am right or at least close.
It does not matter if I am right or wrong in the end. What matters is that you are aware the they are feeding you a Cinderella story on this outbreak and you, for your own benefit, should be aware.
So, now, they are showing numbers that indicate that the number of new cases has dropped off to nothing. I believe that people are no longer going to the hospital. The have been forcibly quarantined and left to defend to themselves, with large numbers dying in their homes, and being carted off to the crematories without ever being examined or included in the totals. The streets of Wuhan are and have been deserted for nearly 2 week now, how many are actually still alive? The support for this is there are dozens of videos showing deserted streets while there are none available that I have seen to refute it.
Sample Video: http://video1.sixthtone.com/video/5/0/388.mp4
The numbers that you see in the news or other reports to day are no more reliable that they have been. The numbers are skewed because they are hiding as much as they can get away with.
You can expect to see the numbers skyrocket in Japan, Singapore, and South Korea over the next month and these will result in massive quarantines. While there is no news of this, North Korea may already be in a dire situation. In South Korea, the number of cases have doubled in the last 24 hours and there is an indication of a massive outbreak. The problem is that in addition to the economic stress of China's quarantine, these countries are all important to the world's economic well being.
This is nowhere near done.
And for more information, see the previously posted articles in this series:
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak Surpasses SARS
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak How far will it spread and how bad?
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak
I give an example, On 26 Jan when there was 2000 cases and 50 mortalities, I posted that On 1 Feb, there would be roughly 16000 cases and 200 deaths. While it did not pass 16000 cases until the 2nd of Feb, ( 1 day late ) the number of deaths was passed the day before ( 1 day early ). The official sources were not predicting anything near that in their candy coated projections. So you might consider that what I have been predicting has been closer to the actual situation than the so called 'professionals'. Just trying to give you a heads up. You can not prove predictions right or wrong until the happen or do not happen. Not all my predictions have been this right but they have been much closer to reality that the so called 'professionals'.
Again, On 29 Jan 2020, I posted that the Mortality rates that they use is exceedingly misleading and I still support that claim. The problem that I pointed out is that the basis that they use to calculate mortality is the number currently dead divided by the total number of reported cases. This is a seriously misleading calculation because once diagnosed it can take up to 20 days before a patient passes away or to be cleared as recovered ( some cases have taken 28 days ).
For this reason, the real mortality should be based on the number of mortalities divided by the number of cases that have reached a final determination. Since there are actually only 2 final determinations, one is fatal and the other is recovered, the total of cases with final determination should be the mortalities plus the recovered. The WHO has not been reporting this, the Chinese have not been reporting this, and the main stream media have not been reporting this. They are all reporting 2 percent mortality where the current mortalities ( approx. 2120 ) and recovered is only about 16450 cases, which calculates to roughly 11 percent mortality, exceeding the number of SARS deaths by 10 times. I would expect this number to drop some to possibly 8 or 9 percent it is certainly not 2 percent that they are trying to pass on to you. If you are a mathematician or a statistician, you know that I am right or at least close.
It does not matter if I am right or wrong in the end. What matters is that you are aware the they are feeding you a Cinderella story on this outbreak and you, for your own benefit, should be aware.
So, now, they are showing numbers that indicate that the number of new cases has dropped off to nothing. I believe that people are no longer going to the hospital. The have been forcibly quarantined and left to defend to themselves, with large numbers dying in their homes, and being carted off to the crematories without ever being examined or included in the totals. The streets of Wuhan are and have been deserted for nearly 2 week now, how many are actually still alive? The support for this is there are dozens of videos showing deserted streets while there are none available that I have seen to refute it.
Sample Video: http://video1.sixthtone.com/video/5/0/388.mp4
The numbers that you see in the news or other reports to day are no more reliable that they have been. The numbers are skewed because they are hiding as much as they can get away with.
You can expect to see the numbers skyrocket in Japan, Singapore, and South Korea over the next month and these will result in massive quarantines. While there is no news of this, North Korea may already be in a dire situation. In South Korea, the number of cases have doubled in the last 24 hours and there is an indication of a massive outbreak. The problem is that in addition to the economic stress of China's quarantine, these countries are all important to the world's economic well being.
This is nowhere near done.
And for more information, see the previously posted articles in this series:
Wuhan Coronavirus / 2019-nCoV: Failure to contain
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak Beware the hidden mortality statisticsWuhan Coronavirus Outbreak Surpasses SARS
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak How far will it spread and how bad?
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak
