An above-trend result for the Coalition from Ipsos this week has halted the long run of momentum to Labor in the BludgerTrack poll aggregate – although it hasn’t reversed it, par… Read More
After a few weeks where it appeared the trend to Labor had tapered off, the BludgerTrack poll aggregate records a solid nudge to Labor this week on the back a Newspoll result crediting it wi… Read More
There’s been only the routine Essential Research result to feed the BludgerTrack poll aggregate this week, which has the two-party preferred vote effectively unchanged, although a rece… Read More
As the many polls published before this week’s parliamentary sitting showed no let-up in the Coalition’s deteriorating standing in the polls, the BludgerTrack poll aggregate has… Read More
The only new poll this week was the weekly Essential Research, owing to the poll glut last week and the Anzac Day public holiday on Monday. The Essential result was an eye-opener, with the n… Read More
There was a pre-budget lull in the federal polling storm this week, but the BludgerTrack aggregate has nonetheless had the regularly scheduled Roy Morgan and Essential Research results to pl… Read More
First up, the latest dispatches from the front:
• The preference deal with the Greens being pursued by the Victorian Liberals at the behest of the party’s state president, Michael… Read More
The flurry of national polling conducted after the budget for release at the onset of the official campaign has been followed this week by a lull in new results at national level, but with G… Read More
The addition of Newspoll and yesterday’s Essential Research result to BludgerTrack leave nothing between the two parties to the first decimal place. Observers of BludgerTrack’s f… Read More
The Australian today brings us state breakdowns aggregated from the last four Newspoll surveys going back to the start of April, pointing to two-party swings of around 3% in New South Wales… Read More
Essential Research and Roy Morgan have both reported over the past few days, in accordance with their usual weekly and fortnightly schedules, giving BludgerTrack a completed weekly cycle&rsq… Read More
It’s been an oddly quiet week on the national polling front, though no doubt the coming fortnight will more than make up for it. Besides the regular weekly campaign ReachTEL poll for S… Read More
Six weeks into the campaign, the BludgerTrack poll aggregate is where it was at the start of the campaign, and has been at every point since – with nothing at all to separate the Coali… Read More
What would normally be the regular weekly reading of BludgerTrack, conducted after Essential Research completes the weekly cycle, finds a late break in favour of the Coalition, who have reco… Read More
The only new poll this week was the usual fortnightly rolling average result from Essential Research, which moved a point in favour of the Coalition on two-party preferrred, leaving Labor&rs… Read More
The arrival of the fortnightly Newspoll this week, together with the usual Essential Research, makes for two new additions to the poll aggregate, but they have had next to no impact on votin… Read More
This week’s reading of BludgerTrack once again records next to no change whatsoever, with both Newspoll and Essential Research proving true to their recent form. The only perceptible s… Read More
Bit late with this one due to the distractions of last week, but the latest reading of the BludgerTrack poll aggregate records discernible movement to Labor after a period of stasis, with bo… Read More
The latest reading of BludgerTrack records next to no movement on national voting intention, the only new addition to the dataset being a status quo Essential Research result. However, the C… Read More
Two new polls this week, from Newspoll and Essential Research (expect the post-election pollster duopoly to be broken over the next few days), produce an incremental move to Labor on the Blu… Read More
First, Crikey has a seasonal offering this week of 25% off for gift subscriptions. If you’re a subscriber already, you can get $33 off a renewal (and also enjoy my piece today on Rod C… Read More
The Australian has produced two tranches of Newspoll quarterly breakdowns over the past two days, the first being the all-important (from BludgerTrack’s perspective) state breakdowns… Read More
No sign of those Newspoll state polls that I hoped might enliven the silly season, and it’s still another week until Essential Research returns. So for your edification, I offer the fo… Read More
BludgerTrack is being heavily determined at present by the two new year data points from Essential Research, but for what those data points are worth, they suggest the government may have en… Read More
Still only the weekly Essential Research results to go on so far this year, and this week’s figures have made very little difference to this week’s reading of BludgerTrack, excep… Read More
The return of Newspoll, along with the usual weekly result from Essential Research, has docked both major parties slightly on the primary vote, with One Nation continuing to go onward and up… Read More
A bruising result for the Coalition from Newspoll shows up as a meaty 0.7% shift on two-party preferred in the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, yielding an extra seat for Labor in each of the fo… Read More
NOTE: Apologies for the ongoing situation with the formatting in comments. This is not intentional and the former state of affairs will be restored, hopefully soon.
This week’s Bludger… Read More
Below is a detailed look at what the BludgerTrack poll aggregate is picking up at state level, enhanced now with Newspoll’s quarterly breakdowns, to add to the unpublished breakdowns p… Read More
There are finally some interesting developments to report from the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, although they have nothing to do with the headline reading on voting intention, of which the o… Read More
This week’s results from Newspoll and Essential Research have resulted in very slight movement to the Coalition on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate’s two-party preferred reading… Read More
A big week for opinion polling hasn’t translated into a big week for BludgerTrack, which records basically no movement at all on two-party preferred, although there’s some moveme… Read More
With two-and-a-half weeks to go, I’m going to start posting poll aggregates ahead of the June 8 British general election with a regularity yet to be determined. There’s no clever… Read More
With ten days left before the general election, Labour’s recovery in Britain, at least as measured by the polls, has reached an extent sufficient to cause the Conservatives real alarm… Read More
With four days left to go, my trend measure of British opinion polls finds the gap continuing to narrow, with the Conservatives down 0.9% since last week to 43.0%, Labour up 2.6% to 35.4%, t… Read More
The only poll this week was a slightly-less-bad-for-the-government result from Essential Research, which takes some of the edge off last week’s surge to Labor. The Coalition’s tw… Read More
A big week of polling, with the weekly Essential, fortnightly Newspoll and YouGov and monthly ReachTEL landing all at once, and their combined effect is to shake the BludgerTrack aggregate o… Read More
Two new polls this week, from Ipsos and Essential Research, have wrought next to no change in voting intention, outside of an improvement for the Greens. However, their state breakdowns have… Read More
Three new polls this week, from ReachTEL, Essential Research and YouGov, has moved Labor to a just-shy-of-career-best result in the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, on which they now hold a two… Read More
There were three new polls this week, from Essential Research, YouGov and ReachTEL, but I’m lacking a complete set of results for the latter, and am thus able to include only the first… Read More
A quiet week for national polling leaves Malcolm Turnbull looking a little bit better on personal approval, but a little bit worse on voting intention.
The post BludgerTrack: 54.1-45.9 to La… Read More
Introducing a bigger and better BludgerTrack. Also featured: a status quo result from Essential Research, at least so far as the major parties are concerned.
The post Essential Research and… Read More
No change in voting intention, but Malcolm Turnbull's approval rating is at its strongest in nearly two years.
The post BludgerTrack: 51.9-48.1 to Labor appeared first on The Poll Bludger Read More
This week's reading of the BludgerTrack poll aggregate maintains its gradual movement to the Coalition.
The post BludgerTrack: 51.7-48.3 to Labor appeared first on The Poll Bludger Read More
Nothing doing on voting intention in the latest poll aggregate update, but Malcolm Turnbull's leadership ratings are continuing to look up.
The post BludgerTrack: 51.8-48.2 to Labor appeared… Read More
The addition of Newspoll's state breakdowns to the BludgerTrack results in a net gain of two for the Coalition on the national seat projection.
The post BludgerTrack: 52.3-47.7 to Labor (sti… Read More
More of the same from the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, with the Coalition's voting intention trend lagging behind Malcolm Turnbull's personal ratings.
The post BludgerTrack: 52.0 to 48.0 to… Read More
An overdue review of the BludgerTrack situation, as a new poll from YouGov Galaxy supports its finding that the Labor swing in Western Australia is back to sub-stratospheric levels.
The post… Read More
Malcolm Turnbull's personal ratings lose their lustre, but the poll trend records no change on voting intention. Also featured: preselection action from Labor in the ACT and the Liberals in… Read More
The BludgerTrack poll trend measurement undergoes a convulsion as the land slides to Labor. Also: final by-election results show a dramatic change in One Nation preference flows compared wit… Read More
BludgerTrack catches up with Newspoll, as the second round of post-coup polls proves hardly better for the Coalition than the first.
The post BludgerTrack: 56.0-44.0 to Labor appeared first… Read More
Labor remains deep in landslide territory on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, despite the moderating impact of this week's Ipsos poll.
The post BludgerTrack: 54.9-45.1 to Labor appeared firs… Read More
No real change in the BludgerTrack poll aggregate this week, except that there is now a Morrison-versus-Shorten preferred prime minister trend in business.
The post BludgerTrack: 53.8-46.2 t… Read More
A further move against the Coalition on BludgerTrack leaves them looking hardly better than in the immediate aftermath of Malcolm Turnbull's demise.
The post BludgerTrack: 54.2-45.8 to Labor… Read More
A devastating Newspoll strips the Coalition of almost all of its poll trend gains from two improved results last week.
The post BludgerTrack: 54.5-44.5 to Labor appeared first on The Poll Bl… Read More
A devastating Newspoll strips the Coalition of almost all of its poll trend gains from two improved results last week.
The post BludgerTrack: 54.5-45.5 to Labor appeared first on The Poll Bl… Read More
Nothing much doing on the poll aggregate, but two ReachTEL seat polls provide further evidence of the Coalition's low ebb in Victoria.
The post BludgerTrack: 54.3-45.7 to Labor appeared firs… Read More
No new grist for the BludgerTrack mill this week, but there's a Greenpeace-sponsored federal poll and some preselection news to relate.
The post BludgerTrack: 53.2-47.8 to Labor (still) appe… Read More
New state-level numbers for federal voting intention take the edge off for the Coalition in Victoria and Western Australia, but weaken them in (of all places) New South Wales.
The post Newsp… Read More
A small measure of historical perspective for this week's leadership polling, on which Scott Morrison lost his lead as preferred prime minister from both Newspoll and Essential Research.
The… Read More