I did make a Profit with the model. So that was good.
The only market where I didn’t produce a profit was the 1X2 market. To be honest I did expect this due to the big number of draws which were predicted.
The results in table format:
SP1 | |||
# Ante | # Pay-out | P/L | |
CS | 6 | 7,5 | 1,5 |
1X2 | 7 | 5,5 | -1,5 |
BTS | 3 | 3,52 | 0,52 |
O/U | 4 | 5,51 | 1,51 |
This reflects a total ROI of 10.15% and a profit of 2.03 units.
But I also did create four accumulators based on the proposed bets and handpicked bets. This way I’m looking for a betting scheme which can increase the profit (faster). Also I don’t have to look for value bets here, so I can use predictions which didn’t made the cut based on the value betting principle.
In this market acca I did very well. Only one winning ticket
The 4 BTTS acca tickets was a winner, good for a pay-out of 9.60 units.
The 4 O/U 2.5 acca failed on the match Lierse – Standard where I did predict an over.
The 1X2 was a disaster with only 2 out of 4 correct.
The CS Yankee is a shot in the dark and did produce only 1 correct out of 4.
SP1 | |||
# Ante | # Pay-out | P/L | |
Yankee CS | 1,1 | 0 | -1,1 |
4 BTS | 1 | 9,6 | 8,6 |
4 1X2 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
4 O/U | 1 | 0 | -1 |
Good enough for a profit of 5,5 units and a ROI of 134,15%.
Overall, the Poisson Model did result into a profit of 7.53 units and a ROI of 31.24%.
I would be happy if the result for matchday 2 of the Jupiler Pro League Play-offs would be in the same range.
I will try to post my predictions for the next round on Wednesday!
Cheers,
Dremeber