Today's racing doesn't inspire much I and will be keeping most stakes to a minimum just for a bit of interest whilst watching......
Bets Be Careful would be my best idea of a winning selection and will be my main bet today!
Bath 4.30 ... Best Be Careful @ 13/2
I had a long look at this race and came down to the following 3 runners.
LooK Whos Kool, Best Be Careful and Catalinas Diamond.
Look Whos Kool could figure on his effort when 2.5 length behind the 86 rated Fol Hollow in a claimer his penultimate run. He looks held by the selection on a line through Desert Strike who Comptonspirit accounted for before beating Best Be Careful last time out under a penalty. The 2nd from that event, Picabo had previously beaten the 80 rated Tyfos who was going for a hatrick.
Best Be Careful gets the vote on her effort last time out when behind those 2 recent winners (both rated 76).
Won @ 8/1 ... Full Result>> Race Replay>>
Bath 2.30 ... Lord Theo @ 25/1
Lord Theo ran up 3 wins in August at Nmkt 2 seasons ago finishing in a class3 h/cap off 16lb higher than today.
Won a few on the A/W over the winter before resuming in June with his 3 runs back on turf this season not amounting to much albeit in better grade contests.
Trainer really struggling for winners (none I think this season) and Jockey only had 3 winners 5 places earlier this month.
Horses is becoming well handicapped and he now drops into this class6 off a stone lower than June, so if the drop in class benefits a return to form perhaps a few quid at todays odds will pay for a night out.
Lost ... Full Result>>
Bath 4.00 ... Levantera @ 9/1
Again a bit of a speculative choice but didn't run too badly at Windsor on penultimate run over just short of 12 furlongs.
Can front run so this drop back to 10fl could see her in a better light as long as she doesn't go off too fast where the stiff finish will be the crucial factor.
She could be the one for an upset should the favourite, Dubawi Dancer, fail to run to expectations under another 9lb penalty.
3rd ... Full Result>>
Bath 5.00 ... Johnstown Lad @ 10/1
Andrea Atzeni only been up once before on this gelding and finished 2nd in a class4 Lingfield h/cap back in November 2009 off 9lb higher than today.
Johnstown Lad been running consistently on the A/W in Ireland (in 0-80 contests) off marks in the mid/high 70's, but 3 of his 4 wins been on turf and did win here that same season off 4lb higher so weighted to go in again if things go his way.
Apprentice ridden latest, but by a capable pilot so no real excuses there but he was giving the other runners weight all round, and had ran in 2 much stronger handicaps than this earlier.
Handles cut in the ground and this looks his easiest task for some time and priced with value to be had.
Lost ... Full Result>>
Folkestone 3.50 ... Osiris Way @ 13/2 Nb
Osiris Way runs off his lowest mark for the last 4 Yrs yet has a near 20% winning strike rate.
Handles most going and drops into this 0-80 grade for the first in along time.
Style And Panache could follow him home.
Lost ... Full result>>
Bets Be Careful would be my best idea of a winning selection and will be my main bet today!
Bath 4.30 ... Best Be Careful @ 13/2
I had a long look at this race and came down to the following 3 runners.
LooK Whos Kool, Best Be Careful and Catalinas Diamond.
Look Whos Kool could figure on his effort when 2.5 length behind the 86 rated Fol Hollow in a claimer his penultimate run. He looks held by the selection on a line through Desert Strike who Comptonspirit accounted for before beating Best Be Careful last time out under a penalty. The 2nd from that event, Picabo had previously beaten the 80 rated Tyfos who was going for a hatrick.
Best Be Careful gets the vote on her effort last time out when behind those 2 recent winners (both rated 76).
Won @ 8/1 ... Full Result>> Race Replay>>
Bath 2.30 ... Lord Theo @ 25/1
Lord Theo ran up 3 wins in August at Nmkt 2 seasons ago finishing in a class3 h/cap off 16lb higher than today.
Won a few on the A/W over the winter before resuming in June with his 3 runs back on turf this season not amounting to much albeit in better grade contests.
Trainer really struggling for winners (none I think this season) and Jockey only had 3 winners 5 places earlier this month.
Horses is becoming well handicapped and he now drops into this class6 off a stone lower than June, so if the drop in class benefits a return to form perhaps a few quid at todays odds will pay for a night out.
Lost ... Full Result>>
Bath 4.00 ... Levantera @ 9/1
Again a bit of a speculative choice but didn't run too badly at Windsor on penultimate run over just short of 12 furlongs.
Can front run so this drop back to 10fl could see her in a better light as long as she doesn't go off too fast where the stiff finish will be the crucial factor.
She could be the one for an upset should the favourite, Dubawi Dancer, fail to run to expectations under another 9lb penalty.
3rd ... Full Result>>
Bath 5.00 ... Johnstown Lad @ 10/1
Andrea Atzeni only been up once before on this gelding and finished 2nd in a class4 Lingfield h/cap back in November 2009 off 9lb higher than today.
Johnstown Lad been running consistently on the A/W in Ireland (in 0-80 contests) off marks in the mid/high 70's, but 3 of his 4 wins been on turf and did win here that same season off 4lb higher so weighted to go in again if things go his way.
Apprentice ridden latest, but by a capable pilot so no real excuses there but he was giving the other runners weight all round, and had ran in 2 much stronger handicaps than this earlier.
Handles cut in the ground and this looks his easiest task for some time and priced with value to be had.
Lost ... Full Result>>
Folkestone 3.50 ... Osiris Way @ 13/2 Nb
Osiris Way runs off his lowest mark for the last 4 Yrs yet has a near 20% winning strike rate.
Handles most going and drops into this 0-80 grade for the first in along time.
Style And Panache could follow him home.
Lost ... Full result>>
