Overseas Managers do better than British Managers in English Football:
Whenever an unknown foreign Manager is chosen to manage a premier league club, the biggest question that arises is what does he know about English football. Well, apparently he knows more than an average English manager. According to John Goddard, deep knowledge of league is not always necessary to succeed at a club. Goddard is a professor of financial economics at Bangor University and an expert in the economics of professional sports. His database has stats on English football since the late 60s. This study takes into account the stats in the Premier League era. It proves that having previous knowledge of the league is an overvalued asset.
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Major stats from the study:
- Overseas managers average 1.66 points per game in the Premier League. This is much better than their British counterparts who average just 1.29. This amasses to a 14 points difference over a season.
- In the football league also overseas managers fair better than British managers. The latter average 1.36 per game while the former average 1.49 points per game. This is a six point difference over a 46 game season.
- On an average, a British manager averaged 1.42 per game while their overseas successor managed 1.58 per game.
- British managers also get the advantage of considerably longer reigns despite having a worse record. Overseas managers get a crack at the club for an average of 58.2 matches while British stayed for a spell lasting 86.3 matches.
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Writer’s views:
Britishers are historically stubborn characters. They support what they believe is right without even having proper knowledge of the issue (Brexit!!). This study proves that the notion extends to British Football as well. Many might argue the fact that overseas managers have a better record because most of the top clubs are managed by overseas managers. This is also not the case as according to this study overseas managers have managed the big six for 54.9% of the games.
Goddard said “Experience feels safe. Yet the data tells us that, at least in football, having previous knowledge of the league is often overvalued. In other words: football is guilty of what we call ‘experience-bias’.”
Thus, next time we see an obscure foreign manager appointed as the manager of an English club, its best not to draw conclusions. Managers like Mauricio Pochettino and even Arsene Wenger are examples of the proof of this theory. British clubs overvalue experience. It’s best to prioritize a manager’s playing style, talent and his relation with the players when thinking about his appointment.
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