2023-01-25 15:04
From Decoding Markets
IIt’s hard to underestimate the significance of the GameStop short squeeze that took place in 2021. This was the first...
The post The Future Of Meme Stocks And H… Read More
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Jb Marwood • Stock Trading Strategies & Systems Blog
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Stock Trading Strategies & Systems
2022-07-13 08:38
From Decoding Markets
ESG Investing is becoming more mainstream, but it can still seem intimidating if you’re new to the space. For those...
The post Environmental, Social, and Governa… Read More
2022-07-13 08:08
From Decoding Markets
Imagine one of the following scenarios: you inherit some money, your employer pays out a bonus, or you sell your...
The post Should You Always Buy the Dip? appeared fir… Read More
2022-06-29 13:15
From Decoding Markets
The popularity of cryptocurrencies has grown exponentially in recent years, and if you own any, you’re well aware of how...
The post What You Need to Know About C… Read More
2022-06-29 12:40
From Decoding Markets
The 18th-century popular investor Baron Rothschild in a meeting with his other comrades, allegedly said that you should immediately start...
The post Should You Invest… Read More
2022-06-20 22:46
From Decoding Markets
Typical Retail Traders Retail trading has gained in popularity over the last 10 to 20 years. That’s no surprise considering the increasing availability of commiss… Read More
2022-05-29 09:19
From Decoding Markets
The success story of the innovative Terra ecosystem with stablecoin Terra USD (UST) and Terra LUNA coin came to an end recently. As of the time of writing, th… Read More
2022-05-18 21:59
From Decoding Markets
The Nobel price laureate physicist Niels Bohr once said, “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” This quote captures the… Read More
2022-04-29 03:47
From Decoding Markets
Stock research reports play a significant role in many investors’ stock selection process. Some use them to get trading ideas, while others, including professiona… Read More
2022-04-18 22:39
From Decoding Markets
If you are reading this blog you most likely already know about momentum investing strategies. In a nutshell, momentum traders buys past winners, often of the past… Read More
2022-03-28 00:20
From Decoding Markets
Recently, I grabbed a book from my library that had been standing there for the past 10 years. It’s called Guide to the 50 Economic Indicators That Really Ma… Read More
2022-03-15 21:45
From Decoding Markets
REIT stands for Real Estate Investment Trust. That’s a company that owns or operates income-generating real estate. REITs are exchange traded, so they can be… Read More
2022-02-27 22:27
From Decoding Markets
There’s a reason that international traders, whether they’re in Tokyo, Singapore, or London, follow the US markets. The US is the hub of global finance. It… Read More
2022-02-13 23:38
From Decoding Markets
We collected 70 short-selling reports (since 2015) by two well-known short-sellers, Hindenburg Research and Muddy Waters Research. As our analysis shows… Read More
2022-01-23 23:24
From Decoding Markets
In the 18th-century, Baron Rothschild allegedly said “buy when there’s blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own”. Most investors understand… Read More
2022-01-09 22:44
From Decoding Markets
Recently we evaluated the reported holdings of institutional investors using data from Sharadar. (As a reminder, institutional investors in control of over $1… Read More
2021-12-19 09:42
From Decoding Markets
Previously, we looked at retail trading data and found that negative retail sentiment was a better buy signal than postive retail sentiment. If it is profitable to… Read More
2021-11-22 21:25
From Decoding Markets
The past couple of years has seen a surge in retail trading which is affecting the market in a real way. People were stuck at home because of the pandemic. Add stimulus… Read More
2021-11-10 02:06
From Decoding Markets
Did you know that in 2020, 63% of quarterly earnings releases beat their estimates? That’s slightly higher than the 20 year average of 58%. Even in turbulent year… Read More
2021-10-20 22:05
From Decoding Markets
I first published this article in 2015. I wanted to know whether the best companies to work for end up being good companies to invest in. It’s been six years so i… Read More
2021-10-08 21:49
From Decoding Markets
There are a number of different ways to trade cryptocurrencies. You can invest for the long term (aka hodl), you can day trade, or you can build your own quantitative c… Read More
2021-10-08 21:49
From Decoding Markets
There are a number of different ways to trade cryptocurrencies. You can invest for the long term (aka hodl), you can day trade, or you can build your own quantitative c… Read More
2021-09-27 00:02
From Decoding Markets
Repainting indicators can be very harmful if not used correctly. They are especially dangerous to systematic traders because a repainting indicator typically produces b… Read More
2021-09-12 22:18
From Decoding Markets
As humans, we have an amazing ability to suspend disbelief. Imagine how many personal mistakes could be avoided if we took a step back and asked, “What is re… Read More
2021-08-30 00:17
From Decoding Markets
The worst traders are those that have no system. A trader I knew would make $40K in a month, then give it all back the next month. He was one hell of a trader but he ha… Read More
2021-08-22 23:51
From Decoding Markets
I became interested in quantitative trading after discovering Perry Kaufmann’s book Trading Systems and Methods. As a day trader, I struggled to control my emotio… Read More
2021-08-18 02:27
From Decoding Markets
2021 has been a rollercoaster of a year so far. It was only in January that rioters stormed the US capitol and Donald Trump found himself banned from Facebook and Twitt… Read More
2021-07-19 23:31
From Decoding Markets
I’m always on the lookout for interesting ways to time the market. Using a market timing model can help to avoid painful bear markets and indicate when is a good… Read More
2021-07-07 09:59
From Decoding Markets
Momentum investing is a successful method practiced by many investors around the world. In the past, authors have mainly focused on price momentum with a lookback perio… Read More
2021-06-27 07:54
From Decoding Markets
The best traders follow consistent strategies. Many use the same signals repeatedly to show them when to enter and exit a trade. In other words, they place orders… Read More
2021-06-21 09:19
From Decoding Markets
There’s been a lot of talk lately as to whether the stock market in 2021 is in a bubble. If you look at Google Trends data you can see that search traffic for the… Read More
2021-06-15 02:45
From Decoding Markets
A price rejection trading strategy aims to identify levels at which a price trend – either upward or downwards – will reverse as a result of the market&rsqu&hell…Read More
2021-05-23 22:29
From Decoding Markets
Table Of Contents What Is Trend Following? Historical Performance The Long Tail How To Find A Trend Managing Risk Does Trend Following Work On Stocks? Trend Following S… Read More
2021-05-11 01:45
From Decoding Markets
In this article the aim is to learn Amibroker in under a hour. This is not a comprehensive tutorial but it covers all the features I find most important for trading. If… Read More
2021-04-19 00:54
From Decoding Markets
I’ve always liked a bet. After school I would go to the bookmakers to place bets on the football. I used to place accumulators that give you the chance to win big… Read More
2021-04-19 00:54
From Decoding Markets
I’ve always liked a bet. After school I would go to the bookmakers to place bets on the football. I used to place accumulators that give you the chance to win big… Read More
2021-04-07 09:52
From Decoding Markets
Semrush (SEMR) is a SaaS business directed at online marketers which IPO’d on March 25th 2021. The company boasts annual recurring revenues of $144 million with 7… Read More
2021-03-21 21:26
From Decoding Markets
I came across the following statement on social media that is attributed to the British economist John Kay: It’s a myth that profits are higher in fast growing in… Read More
2021-03-12 10:47
From Decoding Markets
Ever since I started this website I have been mainly focused on systematic trading. I’ve talked about how to build and backtest quantitative trading strategies an… Read More
2021-03-12 10:47
From Decoding Markets
Ever since I started this website I’ve been focused on systematic trading. I’ve talked about how to build and backtest quantitative trading strategies and i… Read More
2021-03-07 23:57
From Decoding Markets
The last few months we have seen a surge in traders looking at forums such as Wall Street Bets trying to identify meme stocks and the next GameStop. This type of tradin… Read More
2021-02-28 01:36
From Decoding Markets
I have just published a new class called Analysis Of Entry Signals. This is a 1-hour class where I take 40 different trading signals and analyse their profit potential… Read More
2021-02-11 08:12
From Decoding Markets
I’ve been reading the book Deep Thinking by Garry Kasparov who is one of the greatest chess players of all time. He ranked number one from 1984 until his retireme… Read More
2021-01-20 01:24
From Decoding Markets
It’s that time of year again where we look back and review our trades and trading strategies from the past year. 2020 was without doubt an interesting one. The co… Read More
2020-12-20 09:19
From Decoding Markets
I was browsing Quantpedia and came across an investment strategy called Asset Class Trend Following, originally credited to Meb Faber. The strategy is very simple so I… Read More
2020-12-09 00:11
From Decoding Markets
I’ve written a few articles lately that look at the use of valuation metrics on investing strategies. Those articles prompted a reader to ask if I could tes… Read More
2020-11-25 02:06
From Decoding Markets
Technology is moving fast and there are a number of interesting fintech startups cropping up in recent years. One promising development is Alpaca which was started in 2… Read More
2020-11-17 04:10
From Decoding Markets
I don’t know about you but I keep hearing the same story across financial media. Apparently, value investing is no longer relevant. Both the Economist and Washing… Read More
2020-11-06 01:33
From Decoding Markets
Long time readers know that I use Norgate Data for most of my backtesting. The data is clean, reliable and links easily with my backtesting software Amibroker.&nbs&hell…Read More
2020-11-02 01:12
From Decoding Markets
Coronavirus and election concerns have really spooked the market lately with the S&P 500 down -6% on the week. There are more than a couple of reasons for this weak… Read More
2020-10-20 09:10
From Decoding Markets
Simple technical analysis is of limited use to long-term investors. Momentum can last for a long time but it doesn’t have much predictive ability on a five o… Read More
2020-10-14 00:41
From Decoding Markets
It’s not long to go until the US election and Joe Biden is leading the polls. The prominent 538 blog puts Biden’s chances at around 85%, The Economist has B… Read More
2020-10-12 22:45
From Decoding Markets
I started writing this post last week. The idea was to run a large-scale optimization to see which profit targets and stop losses work best when trading US stocks… Read More
2020-09-21 12:18
From Decoding Markets
In order to make a profit in stocks you need to sell at a higher price than you purchased. Because of this, many traders look for stocks that have dropped to extr… Read More
2020-09-16 05:05
From Decoding Markets
Trailing stops are a simple way to exit a trade. The idea is you buy a stock and then trail your stop loss a little way below it as the trade goes on. This way you can… Read More
2020-09-09 01:02
From Decoding Markets
Some investors believe that lower price stocks produce better investment returns than higher priced stocks. It’s always tempting to look at stocks trading un… Read More
2020-08-25 09:45
From Decoding Markets
There has been a lot of discussion recently regarding the impact of stock splits. With two of the biggest names (Apple and Tesla) announcing splits you might be wonderi… Read More
2020-08-17 00:54
From Decoding Markets
Technical analysis is a method used to predict financial markets that relies on analyzing price charts and patterns. This is contrary to fundamental analysis which reli… Read More
2020-08-04 01:40
From Decoding Markets
Let’s do a quick update for the ZTM portfolio. If you’ll remember, this is a portfolio I started back in February 2019 to show that anyone can go from zero… Read More
2020-07-29 08:56
From Decoding Markets
This week we published another new course to Marwood Research called Amibroker CBT Intensive which teaches you how to use the Amibroker custom backtester (CBT). The Ami… Read More
2020-07-22 10:16
From Decoding Markets
Whatever your investing style it’s useful to have a way to whittle down the thousands of available stocks to a more manageable number. Over the years, I&rsq&hell…Read More
2020-05-25 09:20
From Decoding Markets
When people talk about backtesting their minds often turn to formulas and equity curves. Some may even be drawn to data mining or curve fitting, things that can go wron… Read More
2020-05-25 09:20
From Decoding Markets
When people talk about backtesting their minds often turn to formulas and equity curves. Some may even be drawn to data mining or curve fitting, things that can go wron… Read More
2020-05-15 09:08
From Decoding Markets
Dividend Aristocrats are stocks from the S&P 500 that have managed to increase their dividends for 25 consecutive years or more. They are typically large, blue-chip… Read More
2020-05-15 09:08
From Decoding Markets
Dividend Aristocrats are stocks from the S&P 500 that have managed to increase their dividends for 25 consecutive years or more. They are typically large, blue-chip… Read More
2020-05-08 08:17
From Decoding Markets
One of the biggest mistakes I see new investors make is their use of the P/E ratio. The ubiquitous P/E ratio is typically the first metric investors learn on their jour… Read More
2020-05-08 08:17
From Decoding Markets
One of the biggest mistakes I see new investors make is their use of the PE ratio. The ubiquitous P/E ratio is typically the first metric investors learn on their journ… Read More
2020-04-25 09:44
From Decoding Markets
In February of last year I started a project called Zero To One Million. The goal was to show that anyone can go from zero to one million dollars by investing a regular… Read More
2020-04-19 00:35
From Decoding Markets
After a big move on a Monday you will often hear traders talk about turnaround Tuesday. The concept is very simple. When markets start the week in a big way, they will… Read More
2020-04-13 07:32
From Decoding Markets
March 2020 saw one of the quickest bear markets in history as coronavirus shook the world and the S&P 500 dropped 34% in about five weeks. Since then, the market ha… Read More
2020-03-17 10:27
From Decoding Markets
The fallout from the coronavirus has been rapid. The last few weeks have seen huge levels of volatility and the S&P 500 has dropped around 29% from it’s Febru… Read More
2020-02-19 04:14
From Decoding Markets
One of the main reasons why I started Marwood Research is so I have a place to store all of my trading systems. Uploading them online means I can now look back and see… Read More
2020-02-12 22:18
From Decoding Markets
Regular readers know that I started a project last year called Zero To A Million. The goal of this project is to prove that anyone can become a millionaire by inve… Read More
2020-01-23 07:06
From Decoding Markets
Interest rates are low, taxes are low and the stock market is firing on all cylinders. The current bull market is already the longest in history and just a few pe… Read More
2020-01-09 22:22
From Decoding Markets
It has been already been an interesting start to 2020 with the flaring up of hostilities in Iran. I never imagined the S&P 500 could hold up so well with this kind… Read More
2020-01-05 22:32
From Decoding Markets
Regular readers will know that I started a new project last year called Zero To A Million. The goal of this project is to prove that anyone can become a millionai… Read More
2019-12-19 07:15
From Decoding Markets
In this article we will look at a simple trade setup that has been backtested on US stocks and shown to be profitable over nearly 20 years of historical data. We… Read More
2019-12-04 09:21
From Decoding Markets
If you have read some of my recent posts you will know that I’ve started a new portfolio called Zero To A Million. This is a project where I am attempting to reac… Read More
2019-11-23 21:21
From Decoding Markets
20 years ago we were in the middle of the dotcom bubble. This was not a great time to invest since many stocks were at their peak earnings. Many never recovered and a f… Read More
2019-11-19 08:08
From Decoding Markets
Long time users of Amibroker will know that it’s an excellent software for backtesting, scanning and many other tasks. However, automation of trading strategies i… Read More
2019-11-11 21:04
From Decoding Markets
Trade-Ideas is a stock scanner created with active day traders in mind. The scanner has become quite famous among day traders for its endless customisation, massiv… Read More
2019-11-05 08:17
From Decoding Markets
October was a fairly busy month. I published a new class to Marwood Research and made three more stock investments for our long term portfolio. As I mentioned in… Read More
2019-10-26 21:34
From Decoding Markets
Popular brokerages like TD Ameritrade and Schwab have cut their trading commissions to zero and more brokers are following suit. A reader asked about the impact of zero… Read More
2019-10-17 21:14
From Decoding Markets
There’s a study that has been doing the rounds for some time called “Do Global Stocks Outperform Treasury Bills?” In the study, the authors come… Read More
2019-10-12 00:22
From Decoding Markets
If you read last month’s update you will know that I recently started a new investing portfolio called ‘Zero To One Million’. This is a project… Read More
2019-10-06 22:43
From Decoding Markets
Recently a study called Bitcoin Speculation or Value Creation was published looking at how individual stocks react to the news that their firm is investing in blockchai… Read More
2019-09-23 22:21
From Decoding Markets
A reader asked if I could backtest a trading strategy based on the RSI(2) technical indicator. Most RSI strategies trade mean reversion setups, however, this is ac… Read More
2019-09-22 07:45
From Decoding Markets
Profitable stock market strategies are not easy to come by. One proven path is to seek out stock market anomalies. A stock market anomaly is a rate of return or investm… Read More
2019-09-17 02:48
From Decoding Markets
I came across the following quote on Twitter: Unless you’re a perennial short seller, pessimism about the future is of no help. Only optimists make money in the m… Read More
2019-09-10 22:42
From Decoding Markets
First off, a few updates. You may have noticed that this website now has a shiny new name, Decoding Markets! The old one, jbmarwood.com, was too ambiguous and mad… Read More
2019-08-22 01:18
From JB MARWOOD
In a previous article we looked at the effects of introducing price to earnings data to a mean reversion strategy. Although the effects were quite small, we found that… Read More
2019-08-08 08:31
From JB MARWOOD
The general advice with trading systems is that you should try to combine multiple trading strategies together in order to get the benefit of diversification. Having a… Read More
2019-07-24 03:46
From JB MARWOOD
I’ve always wondered whether you can improve a trading strategy by including fundamentals. For example, should you trade mean reversion stocks with a low PE or a… Read More
2019-07-15 23:23
From JB MARWOOD
The trading website Finviz.com shows a simple strategy based on the RSI indicator with an annualised performance of 19.59% per pear. The rules are to go long a stock from the… Read More
2019-06-24 23:19
From JB MARWOOD
I thought I would write an article about bitcoin because it might be valuable to go over what happened. I bought some bitcoin in 2017 and made some money with it. … Read More
2019-06-20 05:08
From JB MARWOOD
The financial sector took a battering in the 2008 crash which led to at least two major headwinds for financial stocks: Financial companies became highly regulated. New laws… Read More
2019-06-07 07:39
From JB MARWOOD
The lottery effect explains our willingness to accept poor odds for a chance to win a huge sum. It’s why millions of us play Lotto or the PowerBall despite huge odds of… Read More
2019-05-21 07:42
From JB MARWOOD
There are thousands of trading websites and tools out there. This list contains some of my favourites. I’ve left out a few of the really popular ones since everyone kno… Read More
2019-05-18 22:58
From JB MARWOOD
Friday brought the news that some of the world’s biggest banks have been fined $1.2 billion for rigging forex markets. What I find most amazing about this news is not t… Read More
2019-04-03 00:24
From JB MARWOOD
While browsing Quantpedia I came across another interesting trading strategy called the Half-day Reversal. This is a short-term, mean reversion strategy that buys the worst p… Read More
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