There's so much going on today that I've just been all over the place trying to put probabilities together both intraday, near term over the next several days/maybe week or so and of course the big picture as to how it all fits together. I've realized I can't get all 3 in to 1 post so I'm going to try to deal with what I see and have seen since early May, as the near term probability. I reiterate