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EURUSD Forecast Nov. 21

Weekly Chart Analysis

EURUSD Weekly Chart.
Short Term Bar Chart Analysis.
  • In the last bar, the close of the week is lower than last week's close indicating that sellers were keener than buyers and driving the price down.
  • The closing price of the week was at the low of the week showing that sellers were in control when the market closed.
  • The market opened near the high of the bar and closed near the low of the bar suggesting that sellers were in control during the entire week.
  • The range is contracting on the downside indicating that sellers are becoming less eager.
Long Term Bar Chart Analysis.
  • The first time-frame trend is a down trend.
  • The second time-frame trend is down.
  • The third time-frame trend is sideways or neutral.
Trendlines.
  • The trend-line identified in the previous week is still intact you can see it here. 
Support and Resistance lines.
  • The most relevant Support level is around 1.04620. This level has provided support to EURUSD in March 2015 and December 2015. It is most likely to provide support in the future.
  • The most relevant Resistance level is around 1.09400. This level provided Support to the EURUSD before it was broken to be a Resistance level. 
Volume Analysis.
  • In the last bar, price made a new low but the volume was lower than the previous volume indicating that sellers are losing commitment and the downward move is more likely to fail.
  • The previous low on the Support line on 29 Nov 2015 had higher volume compared to the latest low at the same level that has lower volume. This suggest that the sellers are losing commitment and downtrend is likely going to fail.

Daily Bar Chart Analysis

EURUSD Daily Chart
Short Term Bar Chart Analysis.
  • In the last bar, the close is lower than the previous day close indicating that sellers were keener and willing to drive the price down.
  • The close of the last bar is closer to the low of the day indicating that sellers were in control at the close of the market.
  • The market opened near the high and closed near the low suggesting that sellers were in control during the day.
  • The range of the bars in contracting on the downside showing that sellers are becoming less eager.
Long term Bar Chart Analysis.
  • The first time-frame is down.
  • The second time-frame is down trend.
  • The third time-frame is a down trend.
Support and Resistance.
  • The most relevant Resistance level is around 1.08865. The level provided support on 25 October 2016 and it was broken on 11 November 2016 to become a Resistance level.
  • The most relevant Support level is around 1.04620.
Volume Analysis.
  • In the last bar, the price made a new low than the previous day with volume rising. The range of the current bar is lower than the penultimate bar. This suggest that sellers were offloading their bearing positions to take bullish positions.
  • The price is making new lows but the volume is decreasing indicating that sellers are losing commitment and the trend is likely to fail.
The price is more likely to fall towards 1.04620 before it starts rising. Therefore, I am weak bullish on EURUSD. Entry position is at 1.04620 to go long.  



This post first appeared on ForexFeedpro, please read the originial post: here

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EURUSD Forecast Nov. 21

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